ASTL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ASTL - Algoma Steel Group Inc. Common Shares

Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens)
$3.92
0.07 (1.82%) β–²
5d: -10.71%
30d: +3.98%
90d: -18.67%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ASTL is down 10.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ASTL is currently trading at $3.92, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.70 to $4.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: -1.5) compared to its historical average (15.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ASTL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.63, while resistance sits at $4.50.

Market Sentiment: ASTL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+410.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $3.70 - $4.20
Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 83.3%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 410.2% below Wall St target ($20.00)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.7% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $3.70 - $4.20
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $3.64
Resistance Level $4.51
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Aug 3, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -1.49
Wall Street Target $20.00 (+410.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -54.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -93.0%
Profit Margin -71.6%
PE vs Historical -1.5 vs 15.7 CHEAP
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Last updated: August 04, 2026 6:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:22 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced ASTL Option Strategies

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