AVO
Mission Produce, Inc. Common Stock
Agricultural Services
Mission Produce (AVO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$11.78
-0.07 (-0.59%)
▼
5d:
+0.6%
30d:
-0.25%
90d:
-9.59%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (78%)
Quality Score
61/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$11.45 – $12.18
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
14.8x
CHEAP
vs 16.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$16.32
+38.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$10.98 / $12.00
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: AVO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.89
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.07
26.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AVO is currently trading at $11.78, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.45 to $12.18. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.8) compared to its historical average (16.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVO is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.32 (+38.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVO is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.32 (+38.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$11.45 -
$12.18
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$11.45 -
$12.18
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.77
(6.6%)
Support Level
$10.98
Resistance Level
$12.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.5% below Wall St target ($16.32)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (54/100) — watch for confirmation
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.80
Wall Street Target
$16.32
(+38.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.2%
Profit Margin
0.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.8 vs 16.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.32
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$10.88
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$10.45
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→17)
$11.80
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 25.2%)
$30.99
(+163%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 25.2%)
$23.09
(+96%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 25.2%)
$19.63
(+67%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 12.17 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.97
Bull Case
$14.22
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 12.8
Base Case
$11.78
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 12.2
Bear Case
$9.01
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 11.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.8 to 16.7
Stabilization Target:
$13.29
(+12.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.8%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AVO)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 7, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bearish sentiment dominates $AVO on StockTwits due to rumors of crop damage and incompetent management, while the latest Yahoo Finance article highlights the company's expanding avocado category leadership and attractive long-term prospects.
Key Retail Themes:
Company's expanding avocado category leadership
Attractive long-term prospects in the avocado market
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AVO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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