Mission Produce (AVO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AVO - Mission Produce, Inc. Common Stock
$13.01
-0.23 (-1.74%)
▼
5d:
+3.5%
30d:
+2.12%
90d:
+16.89%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 08, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AVO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AVO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.40
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.39
20.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AVO is currently trading at $13.01, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.63 to $13.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.3) is in line with its historical norms (17.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVO is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $12.42, while resistance sits at $14.22.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.50 (+26.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVO is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $12.42, while resistance sits at $14.22.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.50 (+26.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$12.63 -
$13.18
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.8% below Wall St target ($16.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.63 -
$13.18
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.42
Resistance Level
$14.22
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.31
Wall Street Target
$16.50
(+26.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.2%
Profit Margin
0.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.3 vs 17.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.84
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$12.67
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$12.51
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→17)
$13.04
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 35.2%)
$39.73
(+205%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.3, Growth: 35.2%)
$32.13
(+147%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.9, Growth: 35.2%)
$27.31
(+110%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 15.80 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.82
Bull Case
$15.71
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 16.6
Base Case
$13.01
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 15.8
Bear Case
$9.95
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 14.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.3 to 17.0
Stabilization Target:
$13.56
(+4.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AVO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Holdings Venture Globalh…
BUY
3695 shares
2026-03-17
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