BJRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BJRI - BJ's Restaurants, Inc.
$63.36
1.09 (1.76%)
▲
5d:
+7.04%
30d:
+30.87%
90d:
+69.4%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BJRI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BJRI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$73.38
Based on 11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$45.56
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BJRI is currently trading at $63.35, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.73 to $60.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.9) compared to its historical average (16.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 12.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BJRI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $62.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $45.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BJRI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $62.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $45.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$48.73 -
$60.64
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
44.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 27.7% above Wall St target ($45.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 12.6% growth with 2.9% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$48.73 -
$60.64
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$55.75
Resistance Level
$62.68
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.86
Wall Street Target
$45.00
(-27.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-29.3%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+12.6% premium
PE vs Historical
23.9 vs 16.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+12.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.10
(+13%)
2-Year Target
$78.94
(+27%)
3-Year Target
$88.88
(+43%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$62.21
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.9, Growth: 18.2%)
$102.79
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 18.2%)
$93.83
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.7, Growth: 18.2%)
$71.94
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.02
Bull Case
$85.58
(+38%)
Analyst growth 29.2%, PE expands to 32.8
Base Case
$77.80
(+25%)
Market implied 29.2%, PE stable at 29.8
Bear Case
$40.96
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 10:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:24 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is BJRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Brian S Krakower
SELL
2600 shares
2026-03-17
C Bradford Richmond
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-12
C Bradford Richmond
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-06
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