BJ's Restaurants (BJRI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BJRI - BJ's Restaurants, Inc.
$60.78
0.67 (1.11%)
▲
5d:
+3.33%
30d:
-12.8%
90d:
+17.29%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BJRI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BJRI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$80.10
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.74
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BJRI is currently trading at $60.78, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.68 to $68.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 22.2) compared to its historical average (18.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BJRI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $58.49, while resistance sits at $65.87.
Market Sentiment: BJRI scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.38 (+24.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BJRI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $58.49, while resistance sits at $65.87.
Market Sentiment: BJRI scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.38 (+24.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$61.68 -
$68.20
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
93.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.0% below Wall St target ($75.38)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.4% growth with 6.4% revenue growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 63/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$61.68 -
$68.20
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$58.49
Resistance Level
$65.87
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.23
Wall Street Target
$75.38
(+24.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-11.3%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.4% premium
PE vs Historical
22.2 vs 18.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$64.67
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$68.81
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$73.21
(+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$60.94
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.2, Growth: 15.4%)
$93.42
(+54%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 15.4%)
$84.77
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 15.4%)
$72.06
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.87
Bull Case
$96.69
(+59%)
Analyst growth 46.2%, PE expands to 35.4
Base Case
$87.90
(+45%)
Market implied 46.2%, PE stable at 32.1
Bear Case
$40.87
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 12:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:11 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is BJRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brian S Krakower
SELL
2600 shares
2026-03-17
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