BJRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BJRI - BJ's Restaurants, Inc.
$67.61
-6.65 (-8.96%)
▼
5d:
+1.12%
30d:
+11.4%
90d:
+76.07%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BJRI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 13.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BJRI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 13.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$75.44
Based on 10.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.84
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BJRI is currently trading at $67.61, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $58.70 to $68.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 25.4) compared to its historical average (17.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 13.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BJRI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $64.46, while resistance sits at $74.60. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: BJRI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $58.88. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BJRI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $64.46, while resistance sits at $74.60. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: BJRI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $58.88. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$58.70 -
$68.13
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-9.0%)
- BEARISH: Trading 12.9% above Wall St target ($58.88)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 13.2% growth with 2.9% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$58.70 -
$68.13
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$64.46
Resistance Level
$74.60
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.39
Wall Street Target
$58.88
(-12.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-29.3%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+13.2% premium
PE vs Historical
25.4 vs 17.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+13.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$76.53
(+13%)
2-Year Target
$86.64
(+28%)
3-Year Target
$98.07
(+45%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$67.60
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.4, Growth: 16.4%)
$106.75
(+58%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 16.4%)
$87.17
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.5, Growth: 16.4%)
$73.58
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.11
Bull Case
$103.09
(+53%)
Analyst growth 26.2%, PE expands to 38.7
Base Case
$93.72
(+39%)
Market implied 26.2%, PE stable at 35.2
Bear Case
$50.50
(-25%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 12:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:47 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is BJRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Brian S Krakower
SELL
2600 shares
2026-03-17
C Bradford Richmond
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-12
C Bradford Richmond
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-06
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