BJ's Restaurants (BJRI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$55.59
-2.12 (-3.67%)
▼
5d:
-8.3%
30d:
-4.96%
90d:
-20.24%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (76%)
Quality Score
50/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$57.37 – $61.45
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
20.6x
FAIR
vs 19.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$74.71
+34.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$54.30 / $65.26
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BJRI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$74.40
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.20
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BJRI is currently trading at $55.59, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $57.37 to $61.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.6) is in line with its historical norms (19.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BJRI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $54.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.71 (+34.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BJRI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $54.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.71 (+34.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$57.37 -
$61.45
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$57.37 -
$61.45
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$54.30
Resistance Level
$65.26
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 34.4% below Wall St target ($74.71)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.60
Wall Street Target
$74.71
(+34.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1100.0%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.6% premium
PE vs Historical
20.6 vs 19.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$57.04
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$58.52
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$60.04
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$55.67
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 11.3%)
$76.54
(+38%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.3%)
$73.79
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 11.3%)
$62.72
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.07
Bull Case
$82.76
(+49%)
Analyst growth 30.4%, PE expands to 30.7
Base Case
$75.23
(+35%)
Market implied 30.4%, PE stable at 27.9
Bear Case
$39.24
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (BJRI)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Aug 3, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
BJ's Restaurants (BJRI) reported Q2 2026 earnings, showcasing record traffic growth of 8.3% and increasing comparable restaurant sales by 6.5%. Despite this positive news, StockTwits sentiment was bearish, with one trader expressing a bearish viewpoint.
Key Retail Themes:
Earnings Report
Traffic Growth
Sales Increase
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 6:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:28 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BJRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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