SBUX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SBUX - Starbucks Corp
$100.15
-0.50 (-0.50%)
▼
5d:
-2.8%
30d:
-5.96%
90d:
+8.21%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SBUX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SBUX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$146.59
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$91.02
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SBUX is currently trading at $100.15, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $96.92 to $104.69. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 33.3) is in line with its historical norms (32.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SBUX is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $102.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SBUX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SBUX is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $102.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SBUX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$96.92 -
$104.69
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($106.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$96.92 -
$104.69
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$93.64
Resistance Level
$102.77
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.26
Wall Street Target
$106.25
(+6.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
32.6%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
33.3 vs 32.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$100.65
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$101.15
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$101.66
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→33)
PE COMPRESSION
$99.94
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.3, Growth: 26.4%)
$202.38
(+102%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 26.4%)
$132.52
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 26.4%)
$112.65
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (33x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 34.25 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.92
Bull Case
$120.93
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 36.0
Base Case
$100.15
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 34.3
Bear Case
$76.61
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 30.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:57 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SBUX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brady Brewer
SELL
588 shares
2026-04-17
Jim Banks
SELL
2026-04-15
Brady Brewer
SELL
1641 shares
2026-04-06
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