BKE The Buckle, Inc. RETAIL-FAMILY CLOTHING STORES

The Buckle (BKE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$43.94
-0.14 (-0.32%) â–ŧ
5d: -0.97% 30d: -1.61% 90d: -0.39%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (52%)
Quality Score
47/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$43.71 – $46.83
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.8x CHEAP
vs 12.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$46.00
+4.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$41.73 / $48.74
Trend: Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: BKE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$76.23
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.33
7.2% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BKE is currently trading at $43.94, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.71 to $46.83. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.8) compared to its historical average (12.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BKE is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $41.73, while resistance sits at $48.74.

Market Sentiment: BKE scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $43.71 - $46.83
Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 52.4%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $43.71 - $46.83
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level $41.73
Resistance Level $48.74
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 12, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($46.00)
  • WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.78
Wall Street Target $46.00 (+4.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -2.2%
Profit Margin 16.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 10.8 vs 12.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $42.45 (-3%)
2-Year Target $41.00 (-7%)
3-Year Target $39.61 (-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→12) $44.08 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 14.7%) $81.29 (+85%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 14.7%) $44.13 (+0%)
Bear: (PE: 9.2, Growth: 14.7%) $37.51 (-15%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.34
Bull Case $45.53 (+4%)
Analyst growth -6.1%, PE expands to 11.2
Base Case $41.39 (-6%)
Market implied -6.1%, PE stable at 10.2
Bear Case $29.97 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.8 to 12.0
Stabilization Target: $48.90 (+11.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +11.3%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (BKE)

Bearish 1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Mar 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on BKE are bearish (sentiment score +0.00) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 2:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:16 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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