The Buckle (BKE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BKE - The Buckle, Inc.
$42.90
0.21 (0.49%)
â˛
5d:
+1.49%
30d:
-0.83%
90d:
+2.48%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 20, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BKE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.5% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BKE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.5% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$76.86
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.73
10.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BKE is currently trading at $42.90, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.71 to $43.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.5) compared to its historical average (12.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BKE is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $43.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BKE scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BKE is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $43.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BKE scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$40.71 -
$43.30
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
38.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($46.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$40.71 -
$43.30
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.28
Resistance Level
$43.91
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.53
Wall Street Target
$46.00
(+7.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.2%
Profit Margin
16.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.5 vs 12.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$40.97
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$39.13
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$37.37
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11â12)
$42.95
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 14.7%)
$83.50
(+95%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.5, Growth: 14.7%)
$43.09
(+0%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 14.7%)
$36.63
(-15%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.31
Bull Case
$44.40
(+4%)
Analyst growth -5.5%, PE expands to 10.9
Base Case
$40.36
(-6%)
Market implied -5.5%, PE stable at 9.9
Bear Case
$29.03
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.5 to 12.1
Stabilization Target:
$49.31
(+14.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 6:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:30 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:30 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BKE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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30000 shares
2026-04-10
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16200 shares
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