The Buckle (BKE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BKE - The Buckle, Inc.
$40.70
0.41 (1.02%)
▲
5d:
-6.24%
30d:
-10.19%
90d:
-9.76%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 21, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BKE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BKE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$77.50
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.12
15.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BKE is currently trading at $40.70, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.01 to $45.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.0) compared to its historical average (12.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BKE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $40.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BKE scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.00 (+13.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BKE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $40.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BKE scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.00 (+13.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$42.01 -
$45.19
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($46.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$42.01 -
$45.19
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.15
Resistance Level
$44.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.99
Wall Street Target
$46.00
(+13.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.2%
Profit Margin
16.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.0 vs 12.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.05
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$35.58
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$33.27
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→12)
$40.64
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 14.7%)
$82.56
(+103%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: 14.7%)
$40.88
(+0%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: 14.7%)
$34.75
(-15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.29
Bull Case
$42.10
(+3%)
Analyst growth -5.0%, PE expands to 10.3
Base Case
$38.27
(-6%)
Market implied -5.0%, PE stable at 9.4
Bear Case
$27.40
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.0 to 12.2
Stabilization Target:
$49.72
(+22.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 3:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BKE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kari G Smith
SELL
30000 shares
2026-04-10
Michelle Hoffman
SELL
16200 shares
2026-04-10
Michelle Hoffman
SELL
29281 shares
2026-03-20
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