The Buckle (BKE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BKE - The Buckle, Inc.
$46.54
-0.94 (-1.98%)
▼
5d:
+0.09%
30d:
+12.04%
90d:
+6.72%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 20, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BKE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BKE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$76.23
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.33
1.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BKE is currently trading at $46.54, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.11 to $45.63. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.4) is in line with its historical norms (12.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BKE is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $47.53. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BKE scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BKE is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $47.53. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BKE scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$41.11 -
$45.63
Company Quality Score
33/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($46.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$41.11 -
$45.63
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.53
Resistance Level
$47.53
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.42
Wall Street Target
$46.00
(-1.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.2%
Profit Margin
16.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.4 vs 12.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$45.75
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$44.97
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$44.21
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$46.45
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 14.7%)
$81.29
(+75%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: 14.7%)
$46.75
(+0%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 14.7%)
$39.73
(-15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.34
Bull Case
$49.04
(+5%)
Analyst growth -6.1%, PE expands to 12.0
Base Case
$44.58
(-4%)
Market implied -6.1%, PE stable at 10.9
Bear Case
$32.29
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.4 to 12.0
Stabilization Target:
$48.90
(+5.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 9:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:54 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is BKE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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