Bloomin' Brands (BLMN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BLMN - Bloomin' Brands, Inc. Common Stock
$8.38
0.63 (8.13%)
▲
5d:
+3.2%
30d:
-13.96%
90d:
-3.68%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 29, 2026 at $8.06 · last confirmed Oct 1, 2026
Strength: 5.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BLMN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BLMN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.86
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BLMN is currently trading at $8.38, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.99 to $10.21. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.1) is in line with its historical norms (7.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 22.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BLMN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.66, while resistance sits at $8.89. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: BLMN scores 97/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.86 (+53.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BLMN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.66, while resistance sits at $8.89. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: BLMN scores 97/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.86 (+53.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$7.99 -
$10.21
Company Quality Score
71/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
95.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BLMN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (97/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+8.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 53.0% below Wall St target ($11.86)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 29% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.99 -
$10.21
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.66
Resistance Level
$8.89
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.11
Wall Street Target
$11.86
(+53.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
22.4%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.1 vs 7.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.49
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$7.25
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$7.01
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$7.79
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 12.8%)
$31.96
(+312%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.1, Growth: 12.8%)
$11.14
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.0, Growth: 12.8%)
$9.47
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.33
Bull Case
$17.73
(+129%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 26.9
Base Case
$16.12
(+108%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 24.4
Bear Case
$5.48
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.1 to 7.9
Stabilization Target:
$8.61
(+11.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 01, 2026 4:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BLMN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced BLMN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BLMN price and gamma walls.