Bloomin' Brands (BLMN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$9.93
-0.35 (-3.40%)
âŧ
5d:
-2.93%
30d:
+13.23%
90d:
-12.82%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (46%)
Quality Score
32/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$8.78 â $10.46
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.1x
FAIR
vs 8.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$12.03
+21.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$8.96 / $11.28
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BLMN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.26
Based on 7.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.61
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BLMN is currently trading at $9.93, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.78 to $10.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.1) compared to its historical average (8.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BLMN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.96, while resistance sits at $11.28. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: BLMN scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.03 (+21.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BLMN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.96, while resistance sits at $11.28. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: BLMN scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.03 (+21.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$8.78 -
$10.46
Company Quality Score
32/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$8.78 -
$10.46
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$8.96
Resistance Level
$11.28
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding BLMN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 21.1% below Wall St target ($12.03)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.12
Wall Street Target
$12.03
(+21.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
22.4%
Profit Margin
1.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.6% premium
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 8.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.39
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$10.86
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$11.36
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9â8)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.96
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.2%)
$28.90
(+191%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 10.2%)
$13.28
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: 10.2%)
$11.29
(+14%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.90
Bull Case
$13.67
(+38%)
Analyst growth 20.9%, PE expands to 12.6
Base Case
$12.43
(+25%)
Market implied 20.9%, PE stable at 11.4
Bear Case
$6.99
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (BLMN)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 23, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bearish sentiment prevails on StockTwits as one trader exits $BLMN position with a 6.5% gain, citing the loss of the highest high and volume anchored VWAP at $6.40.
Key Retail Themes:
Technical Analysis
Position Exit
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 10, 2026 9:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:28 PM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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