BLMN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BLMN - Bloomin' Brands, Inc. Common Stock
$8.33
0.27 (3.35%)
▲
5d:
+0.48%
30d:
+5.98%
90d:
+43.13%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BLMN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BLMN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.01
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.22
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BLMN is currently trading at $8.33, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.44 to $8.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.6) compared to its historical average (7.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BLMN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.03, while resistance sits at $8.61. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: BLMN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BLMN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.03, while resistance sits at $8.61. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: BLMN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$7.44 -
$8.19
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($8.64)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.0% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.44 -
$8.19
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.03
Resistance Level
$8.61
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.55
Wall Street Target
$8.64
(+3.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
29.9%
Profit Margin
0.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.0% premium
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 7.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.83
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$9.36
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$9.92
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$8.35
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.8%)
$28.83
(+246%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 10.8%)
$11.32
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.2, Growth: 10.8%)
$9.53
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.24
Bull Case
$17.73
(+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 36.9
Base Case
$16.12
(+94%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 33.6
Bear Case
$5.48
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BLMN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Rohit Lal
BUY
10000 shares
2026-03-11
Julie T Kunkel
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-05
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