BLMN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BLMN - Bloomin' Brands, Inc. Common Stock
$8.34
0.28 (3.47%)
▲
5d:
-4.14%
30d:
+12.25%
90d:
+37.17%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
22d
Get Alerted When BLMN Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BLMN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BLMN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.90
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BLMN is currently trading at $8.34, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.49 to $8.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.6) compared to its historical average (7.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BLMN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.66, while resistance sits at $9.28. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BLMN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.66, while resistance sits at $9.28. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$7.49 -
$8.65
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($8.61)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.6% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.49 -
$8.65
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.66
Resistance Level
$9.28
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.62
Wall Street Target
$8.61
(+3.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
29.9%
Profit Margin
0.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.6% premium
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 7.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.81
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$9.30
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$9.82
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$8.32
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.0%)
$28.07
(+237%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 10.0%)
$11.10
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: 10.0%)
$9.41
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.25
Bull Case
$17.73
(+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 35.5
Base Case
$16.12
(+93%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 32.2
Bear Case
$5.48
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:14 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is BLMN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Rohit Lal
BUY
10000 shares
2026-03-11
Julie T Kunkel
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-05
Top Rated Restaurants Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Restaurants by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
WING
Wingstop Inc |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$233 | 55 HOLD |
|
CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill I… |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$43 | 68 BUY |
|
QSR
Restaurant Brands Intern… |
BUY
31 analysts |
$85 | 61 BUY |
|
YUMC
Yum China Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$61 | 64 BUY |
|
DPZ
Domino's Pizza Inc Commo… |
BUY
31 analysts |
$394 | 58 HOLD |
Advanced BLMN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BLMN price and gamma walls.