What is the fair value of BLZE stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for BLZE to be between $13.02 and $18.74. The current price is $15.80.

What is the analyst price target for BLZE?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for BLZE is $22.83. This implies a potential upside of 44.5% from current levels.

BLZE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BLZE - Backblaze, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

$15.80

-0.44 (-2.71%) ▼

5d: -16.93%

30d: +23.82%

90d: +114.38%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 03, 2026 0d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 17, 2026 at $19.39 · last confirmed Aug 17, 2026

Strength: 6.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: BLZE is down 16.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$13.73

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$8.52

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BLZE is currently trading at $15.80, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.02 to $18.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 56.0) compared to its historical average (77.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BLZE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: BLZE scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.83 (+44.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $13.02 - $18.74

Company Quality Score 43/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 50.0%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 44.5% below Wall St target ($22.83)
WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $13.02 - $18.74

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $15.52

Resistance Level $20.91

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 56.03

Wall Street Target $22.83 (+44.5%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 17.7%

Profit Margin -13.1%

Valuation Discount vs History -10.1% cheaper

PE vs Historical 56.0 vs 77.2 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -10.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $14.22 (-10%)

2-Year Target $12.80 (-19%)

3-Year Target $11.52 (-27%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 56→77) $15.87 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 56.0, Growth: 31.6%) $36.00 (+128%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 31.6%) $12.90 (-18%)

Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 31.6%) $10.96 (-31%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 56.0 to 77.2

Stabilization Target: $21.77 (+37.8%)

PE Expansion Potential: +37.8%

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Last updated: August 23, 2026 11:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:04 PM

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Advanced BLZE Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BLZE price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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