Popular (BPOP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$160.10
+0.93 (+0.58%)
▲
5d:
+0.87%
30d:
+2.75%
90d:
-9.56%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (69%)
Quality Score
53/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$156.33 – $159.69
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.1x
FAIR
vs 9.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$194.10
+21.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
8th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$154.32 / $161.38
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BPOP shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite extended pricing.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$222.13
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$137.92
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BPOP is currently trading at $160.10, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $156.33 to $159.69. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.1) is in line with its historical norms (9.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 22.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BPOP is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $161.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BPOP scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (8th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $194.10 (+21.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BPOP is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $161.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BPOP scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (8th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $194.10 (+21.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$156.33 -
$159.69
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
8th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
69.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$156.33 -
$159.69
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.96
(3.1%)
Support Level
$154.32
Resistance Level
$161.38
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 8th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (74/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.2% below Wall St target ($194.10)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 74/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.11
Wall Street Target
$194.10
(+21.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
22.0%
Profit Margin
32.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 9.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$159.30
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$158.50
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$157.71
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$160.94
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.7%)
$448.42
(+180%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 8.7%)
$205.78
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: 8.7%)
$174.91
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.48
Bull Case
$198.69
(+24%)
Analyst growth 13.5%, PE expands to 11.3
Base Case
$180.63
(+13%)
Market implied 13.5%, PE stable at 10.3
Bear Case
$108.24
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.1 to 9.3
Stabilization Target:
$163.37
(+2.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.0%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (BPOP)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jan 27, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Popular BPOP reported lower net income and ROE in Q3 2024 due to increased provisions for credit losses and deposit outflows, but highlighted resilience in core markets and strong loan growth.
Key Retail Themes:
Credit losses and deposit outflows
Loan growth and resilience in core markets
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 1:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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