Popular (BPOP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BPOP - Popular Inc
$157.64
-4.61 (-2.84%)
▼
5d:
+0.17%
30d:
-0.78%
90d:
-8.2%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BPOP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BPOP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$220.06
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$136.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BPOP is currently trading at $157.64, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $156.35 to $161.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.2) is in line with its historical norms (9.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 40.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BPOP is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $152.79, while resistance sits at $162.95.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $195.20 (+23.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BPOP is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $152.79, while resistance sits at $162.95.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $195.20 (+23.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$156.35 -
$161.86
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BPOP? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.8% below Wall St target ($195.20)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (50/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$156.35 -
$161.86
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$152.79
Resistance Level
$162.95
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.16
Wall Street Target
$195.20
(+23.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
40.9%
Profit Margin
31.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.2 vs 9.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$157.01
(0%)
2-Year Target
$156.38
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$155.76
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$158.07
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.2%)
$444.94
(+182%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.2, Growth: 9.2%)
$205.30
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: 9.2%)
$174.51
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.79
Bull Case
$207.59
(+32%)
Analyst growth 16.3%, PE expands to 12.1
Base Case
$188.72
(+20%)
Market implied 16.3%, PE stable at 11.0
Bear Case
$110.33
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.2 to 9.3
Stabilization Target:
$159.99
(+1.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 1:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BPOP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced BPOP Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BPOP price and gamma walls.
