BPOP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BPOP - Popular Inc
$168.71
-1.85 (-1.08%)
▼
5d:
+0.01%
30d:
+8.04%
90d:
+16.5%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BPOP is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: BPOP is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$219.14
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$136.07
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BPOP is currently trading at $168.71, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $154.31 to $167.09. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.2) compared to its historical average (9.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BPOP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $163.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BPOP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $163.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$154.31 -
$167.09
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BPOP? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($184.56)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$154.31 -
$167.09
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$163.65
Resistance Level
$171.98
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.16
Wall Street Target
$184.56
(+9.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
47.8%
Profit Margin
30.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.9% premium
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 9.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$175.29
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$182.13
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$189.23
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$167.57
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.0%)
$507.27
(+201%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 12.0%)
$236.71
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 12.0%)
$201.20
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.53
Bull Case
$230.19
(+36%)
Analyst growth 22.7%, PE expands to 13.9
Base Case
$209.26
(+24%)
Market implied 22.7%, PE stable at 12.6
Bear Case
$115.98
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BPOP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Alejandro M Sanchez
SELL
1451 shares
2026-02-26
Alejandro M Ballester
SELL
2360 shares
2026-01-30
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