BRCB
Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Retail-Eating & Drinking Places
Best Restaurants Stocks 2026 →
Black Rock Coffee Bar (BRCB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$9.64
+0.88 (+10.05%)
â˛
5d:
-8.8%
30d:
+33.52%
90d:
+17.7%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (55%)
Quality Score
42/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$7.65 â $10.50
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
36.0x
FAIR
vs 37.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$12.14
+26.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$8.61 / $11.77
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BRCB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Get Alerted When BRCB Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.02
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.09
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BRCB is currently trading at $9.64, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.65 to $10.50. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 36.0) is in line with its historical norms (37.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRCB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.61, while resistance sits at $11.77. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 10.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: BRCB scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.14 (+26.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRCB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.61, while resistance sits at $11.77. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 10.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: BRCB scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.14 (+26.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$7.65 -
$10.50
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$7.65 -
$10.50
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$8.61
Resistance Level
$11.77
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+10.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 26.0% below Wall St target ($12.14)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
36.04
Wall Street Target
$12.14
(+26.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
29.7%
Profit Margin
1.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
36.0 vs 37.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.54
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$9.45
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$9.35
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 36â37)
$9.66
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 36.0, Growth: 35.1%)
$23.77
(+147%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 35.1%)
$13.10
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 35.1%)
$11.14
(+16%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (36x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 43.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.20
Bull Case
$12.89
(+34%)
Analyst growth 33.8%, PE expands to 48.2
Base Case
$11.72
(+22%)
Market implied 33.8%, PE stable at 43.8
Bear Case
$5.96
(-38%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 36.0 to 37.2
Stabilization Target:
$9.95
(+3.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.2%
Share BRCB Analysis
Share this live BRCB analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (BRCB)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Black Rock Coffee Bar (BRCB) reported Q3 2026 earnings with a 29.7% year-over-year revenue growth to $66.8 million and 5.8% same-store sales growth. The company opened 35 new stores year-to-date and raised unit growth guidance to 40 for the full year.
Key Retail Themes:
Revenue growth
Same-store sales growth
New store openings
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 6:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 PM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is BRCB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Restaurants Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Restaurants by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BROS
Dutch Bros Inc |
STRONG BUY
26 analysts |
$65 | 50 HOLD |
|
CAVA
CAVA Group, Inc. |
BUY
28 analysts |
$79 | 47 HOLD |
|
WING
Wingstop Inc |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$186 | 33 SELL |
|
CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill IâĻ |
BUY
35 analysts |
$41 | 28 SELL |
|
QSR
Restaurant Brands InternâĻ |
BUY
28 analysts |
$85 | 40 SELL |
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive BRCB Research Pages