CAPL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAPL - CrossAmerica Partners LP Common units representing limited partner interests
$22.18
0.28 (1.28%)
▲
5d:
+3.64%
30d:
+1.14%
90d:
+1.93%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CAPL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 19.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CAPL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 19.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.30
Based on -4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.85
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAPL is currently trading at $22.18, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.43 to $22.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.3) compared to its historical average (36.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 19.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAPL is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $22.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CAPL scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAPL is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $22.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CAPL scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$21.43 -
$22.08
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (62/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($20.00)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 62/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.43 -
$22.08
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.20
Resistance Level
$22.25
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.29
Wall Street Target
$20.00
(-9.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-18.3%
Profit Margin
1.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-19.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.3 vs 36.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-19.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.96
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$17.97
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$16.17
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→37)
$30.68
(+38%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -13.5%)
$16.65
(+-25%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.3, Growth: -13.5%)
$16.17
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.4, Growth: -13.5%)
$13.74
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.37
Bull Case
$20.22
(-9%)
Analyst growth -16.1%, PE expands to 17.6
Base Case
$18.38
(-17%)
Market implied -16.1%, PE stable at 16.0
Bear Case
$14.89
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.3 to 36.6
Stabilization Target:
$42.09
(+89.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+89.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 3:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAPL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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