CAPL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAPL - CrossAmerica Partners LP Common units representing limited partner interests
$21.97
0.33 (1.52%)
▲
5d:
+0.5%
30d:
-3.09%
90d:
+0.92%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CAPL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 17.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CAPL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 17.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.79
Based on -7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.56
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAPL is currently trading at $21.97, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.78 to $22.59. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 25.9) compared to its historical average (45.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAPL is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $21.30, while resistance sits at $22.75.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAPL is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $21.30, while resistance sits at $22.75.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$21.78 -
$22.59
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($20.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.78 -
$22.59
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.30
Resistance Level
$22.75
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.85
Wall Street Target
$20.00
(-9.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.5%
Profit Margin
1.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-17.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.9 vs 45.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-17.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.77
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$17.80
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$16.02
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→46)
$28.32
(+29%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.8, Growth: -19.8%)
$16.02
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: -19.8%)
$13.50
(-39%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: -19.8%)
$11.47
(-48%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.48
Bull Case
$13.67
(-38%)
Analyst growth -42.6%, PE expands to 16.1
Base Case
$12.43
(-43%)
Market implied -42.6%, PE stable at 14.6
Bear Case
$14.72
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.8 to 45.7
Stabilization Target:
$38.84
(+76.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+76.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 5:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:47 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAPL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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