CAPL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAPL - CrossAmerica Partners LP Common units representing limited partner interests
$23.84
-0.16 (-0.67%)
▼
5d:
+1.02%
30d:
+8.76%
90d:
+5.16%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CAPL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CAPL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.30
Based on -4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.85
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAPL is currently trading at $23.84, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.57 to $23.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.7) compared to its historical average (40.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 20.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAPL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $21.65, while resistance sits at $24.63.
Market Sentiment: CAPL scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $20.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAPL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $21.65, while resistance sits at $24.63.
Market Sentiment: CAPL scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $20.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$21.57 -
$23.34
Company Quality Score
33/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
19.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 16.1% above Wall St target ($20.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.57 -
$23.34
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.65
Resistance Level
$24.63
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.73
Wall Street Target
$20.00
(-16.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-18.3%
Profit Margin
1.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-20.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.7 vs 40.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-20.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.46
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$19.31
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$17.38
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→41)
$34.20
(+44%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: -13.5%)
$17.38
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: -13.5%)
$16.83
(-29%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: -13.5%)
$14.30
(-40%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 17.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.36
Bull Case
$22.32
(-6%)
Analyst growth -15.4%, PE expands to 19.4
Base Case
$20.29
(-15%)
Market implied -15.4%, PE stable at 17.7
Bear Case
$16.32
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.7 to 40.8
Stabilization Target:
$46.92
(+96.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+96.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 8:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:11 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAPL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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