CAPL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAPL - CrossAmerica Partners LP Common units representing limited partner interests
$21.89
-0.05 (-0.23%)
▼
5d:
-2.84%
30d:
+5.49%
90d:
+2.58%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CAPL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 18.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CAPL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 18.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.79
Based on -7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.56
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAPL is currently trading at $21.89, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.22 to $22.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 25.8) compared to its historical average (47.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 18.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAPL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $21.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAPL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $21.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$21.22 -
$22.69
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($20.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.22 -
$22.69
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.52
Resistance Level
$23.25
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.75
Wall Street Target
$20.00
(-8.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.5%
Profit Margin
1.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-18.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.8 vs 47.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-18.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.70
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$17.73
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$15.96
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→48)
$29.62
(+35%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.8, Growth: -19.8%)
$15.96
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: -19.8%)
$13.58
(-38%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: -19.8%)
$11.54
(-47%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.48
Bull Case
$14.23
(-36%)
Analyst growth -42.6%, PE expands to 16.8
Base Case
$12.94
(-41%)
Market implied -42.6%, PE stable at 15.2
Bear Case
$15.32
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.8 to 47.8
Stabilization Target:
$40.63
(+85.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+85.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 8:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAPL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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