CAPL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAPL - CrossAmerica Partners LP Common units representing limited partner interests
$22.60
0.12 (0.53%)
▲
5d:
+0.53%
30d:
+0.62%
90d:
+5.12%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CAPL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CAPL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.79
Based on -7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.56
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAPL is currently trading at $22.60, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.91 to $22.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 26.6) compared to its historical average (44.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAPL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CAPL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $20.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAPL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CAPL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $20.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$21.91 -
$22.56
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 11.5% above Wall St target ($20.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.91 -
$22.56
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.13
Resistance Level
$22.89
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.59
Wall Street Target
$20.00
(-11.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.5%
Profit Margin
1.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-15.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.6 vs 44.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-15.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.34
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$18.31
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$16.48
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→44)
$27.26
(+21%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.6, Growth: -19.8%)
$16.48
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: -19.8%)
$13.50
(-40%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: -19.8%)
$11.47
(-49%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.48
Bull Case
$14.20
(-37%)
Analyst growth -42.6%, PE expands to 16.7
Base Case
$12.91
(-43%)
Market implied -42.6%, PE stable at 15.2
Bear Case
$15.29
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.6 to 44.0
Stabilization Target:
$37.40
(+65.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+65.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 9:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:18 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:18 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAPL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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