CAPL
CrossAmerica Partners LP Common units representing limited partner interests
WHOLESALE-PETROLEUM & PETROLEUM PRODUCTS (NO BULK STATIONS)
CAPL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$20.27
+0.38 (+1.91%)
▲
5d:
+0.0%
30d:
-5.5%
90d:
-12.82%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (75%)
Quality Score
46/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$20.46 – $22.31
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
17.6x
CHEAP
vs 35.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$20.00
-1.3% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$18.57 / $22.99
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CAPL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.30
Based on -4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.85
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAPL is currently trading at $20.27, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.46 to $22.31. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.6) compared to its historical average (35.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 20.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAPL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $18.57, while resistance sits at $22.99.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAPL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $18.57, while resistance sits at $22.99.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$20.46 -
$22.31
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$20.46 -
$22.31
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$18.57
Resistance Level
$22.99
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (57/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($20.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.63
Wall Street Target
$20.00
(-1.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-37.9%
Profit Margin
1.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-20.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.6 vs 35.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-20.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.24
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$16.42
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$14.78
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→36)
$29.85
(+47%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -13.5%)
$16.65
(+-18%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.6, Growth: -13.5%)
$14.78
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.0, Growth: -13.5%)
$12.56
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.25
Bull Case
$20.13
(-1%)
Analyst growth -8.0%, PE expands to 17.5
Base Case
$18.30
(-10%)
Market implied -8.0%, PE stable at 15.9
Bear Case
$13.53
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.6 to 35.6
Stabilization Target:
$40.94
(+102.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+102.0%
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Last updated: November 12, 2026 5:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
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Net
NEUTRAL
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