CAPL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAPL - CrossAmerica Partners LP Common units representing limited partner interests
$21.25
-0.96 (-4.32%)
▼
5d:
-3.28%
30d:
-5.64%
90d:
-0.09%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CAPL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 16.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CAPL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 16.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.79
Based on -7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.56
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAPL is currently trading at $21.25, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.90 to $22.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 25.0) compared to its historical average (42.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAPL is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $21.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAPL is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $21.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$21.90 -
$22.56
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.3%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($20.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.90 -
$22.56
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.00
Resistance Level
$22.42
Current Trend
Support Break
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.00
Wall Street Target
$20.00
(-5.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.5%
Profit Margin
1.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.0 vs 42.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.12
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$17.21
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$15.49
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→42)
$26.27
(+24%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.0, Growth: -19.8%)
$15.49
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: -19.8%)
$12.85
(-40%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: -19.8%)
$10.92
(-49%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.47
Bull Case
$13.90
(-37%)
Analyst growth -42.2%, PE expands to 16.4
Base Case
$12.64
(-43%)
Market implied -42.2%, PE stable at 14.9
Bear Case
$14.86
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.0 to 42.4
Stabilization Target:
$36.04
(+69.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+69.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 5:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:17 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:17 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAPL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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