CAPL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAPL - CrossAmerica Partners LP Common units representing limited partner interests
$22.80
-0.10 (-0.44%)
▼
5d:
-0.48%
30d:
-2.15%
90d:
+1.88%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CAPL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CAPL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.30
Based on -4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.85
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAPL is currently trading at $22.80, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.25 to $23.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.8) compared to its historical average (39.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 20.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAPL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $20.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAPL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $20.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$22.25 -
$23.75
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (52/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 12.3% above Wall St target ($20.00)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (52/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.25 -
$23.75
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.52
Resistance Level
$23.47
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.83
Wall Street Target
$20.00
(-12.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-18.3%
Profit Margin
1.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-20.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.8 vs 39.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-20.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.52
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$18.47
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$16.62
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→39)
$32.95
(+45%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -13.5%)
$16.91
(+-26%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.8, Growth: -13.5%)
$16.62
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -13.5%)
$14.13
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 17.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.34
Bull Case
$21.62
(-5%)
Analyst growth -14.2%, PE expands to 18.8
Base Case
$19.65
(-14%)
Market implied -14.2%, PE stable at 17.1
Bear Case
$15.57
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.8 to 39.3
Stabilization Target:
$45.19
(+98.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+98.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAPL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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