CAVA Group (CAVA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAVA - CAVA Group, Inc.
$55.88
1.88 (3.48%)
▲
5d:
-9.39%
30d:
-19.56%
90d:
-36.68%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $60.76 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 8.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CAVA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CAVA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.02
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.36
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAVA is currently trading at $55.88, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $59.89 to $70.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 73.0) compared to its historical average (106.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 19.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAVA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $53.91, while resistance sits at $68.50. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: CAVA scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.79 (+57.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAVA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $53.91, while resistance sits at $68.50. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: CAVA scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.79 (+57.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$59.89 -
$70.75
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CAVA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 57.0% below Wall St target ($84.79)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$59.89 -
$70.75
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$53.91
Resistance Level
$68.50
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
72.99
Wall Street Target
$84.79
(+57.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
31.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.8%
Profit Margin
4.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
73.0 vs 106.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$48.60
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$43.74
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$39.37
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 73→107)
$57.49
(+7%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 73.0, Growth: 35.5%)
$134.33
(+149%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 35.5%)
$37.12
(-31%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 35.5%)
$31.55
(-42%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (80x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (73x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 80.00 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.68
Bull Case
$65.20
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 84.0
Base Case
$54.00
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 80.0
Bear Case
$41.31
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 72.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 73.0 to 106.6
Stabilization Target:
$78.86
(+46.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+46.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 4:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAVA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CAVA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CAVA price and gamma walls.
