Is CAVA stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, CAVA is currently a HOLD with low confidence. 📊 HOLD: CAVA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of CAVA stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for CAVA to be between $51.15 and $64.12. The current price is $54.40.

What is the analyst price target for CAVA?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for CAVA is $82.75. This implies a potential upside of 52.1% from current levels.

CAVA Group (CAVA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CAVA - CAVA Group, Inc.

RETAIL-EATING PLACES

$54.40

0.30 (0.55%) ▲

5d: +1.66%

30d: -10.94%

90d: -29.24%

HOLD

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 03, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CAVA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$36.21

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$22.48

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CAVA is currently trading at $54.40, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.15 to $64.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 73.1) compared to its historical average (104.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 19.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CAVA is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $55.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: CAVA scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $82.75 (+52.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW

Historical Trading Range $51.15 - $64.12

Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 90.5%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (71/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 52.1% below Wall St target ($82.75)
CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 24% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $51.15 - $64.12

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $50.80

Resistance Level $55.41

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Oct 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 73.14

Wall Street Target $82.75 (+52.1%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 31.3%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 19.8%

Profit Margin 4.8%

Valuation Discount vs History -11.1% cheaper

PE vs Historical 73.1 vs 104.0 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -11.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $48.96 (-10%)

2-Year Target $44.06 (-19%)

3-Year Target $39.66 (-27%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 73→104) $56.39 (+4%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 73.1, Growth: 35.9%) $136.55 (+151%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 35.9%) $38.09 (-30%)

Bear: (PE: 17.3, Growth: 35.9%) $32.37 (-41%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (92x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (73x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 91.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.58

Bull Case $74.96 (+39%)

Analyst growth 28.2%, PE expands to 100.8

Base Case $68.15 (+26%)

Market implied 28.2%, PE stable at 91.6

Bear Case $36.14 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 77.9

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 73.1 to 104.0

Stabilization Target: $77.36 (+42.2%)

PE Expansion Potential: +42.2%

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Last updated: October 01, 2026 5:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:02 PM

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