CAVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAVA - CAVA Group, Inc.
$80.88
-8.30 (-9.31%)
▼
5d:
-11.11%
30d:
+0.43%
90d:
-4.02%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
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Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CAVA is down 11.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CAVA is down 11.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.59
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.72
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAVA is currently trading at $80.88, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $74.22 to $85.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 107.6) is in line with its historical norms (112.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAVA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $72.33, while resistance sits at $92.31. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: CAVA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.00 (+13.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAVA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $72.33, while resistance sits at $92.31. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: CAVA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.00 (+13.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$74.22 -
$85.78
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CAVA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-9.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($92.00)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.1% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$74.22 -
$85.78
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$72.33
Resistance Level
$92.32
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
107.62
Wall Street Target
$92.00
(+13.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.1%
Profit Margin
4.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
107.6 vs 112.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$79.67
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$78.47
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$77.29
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 108→113)
$80.87
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 107.6, Growth: 36.0%)
$203.31
(+151%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 36.0%)
$41.14
(-49%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 36.0%)
$34.97
(-57%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (161x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (108x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 161.29 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.50
Bull Case
$97.66
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 169.4
Base Case
$80.88
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 161.3
Bear Case
$61.87
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 145.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 107.6 to 112.6
Stabilization Target:
$84.62
(+4.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAVA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
4542 shares
2026-01-27
Kelly Costanza
SELL
1707 shares
2026-01-27
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SELL
994 shares
2026-01-27
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CAVA price and gamma walls.
