CAVA Group (CAVA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$60.39
-1.96 (-3.14%)
▼
5d:
+0.13%
30d:
+14.9%
90d:
-13.07%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (24%)
Quality Score
39/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$52.67 – $59.56
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
85.0x
CHEAP
vs 100.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$75.42
+24.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$52.04 / $65.38
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CAVA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 29, 2026 at $59.21 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.60
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAVA is currently trading at $60.39, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.67 to $59.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 85.0) compared to its historical average (100.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAVA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $52.04, while resistance sits at $65.38. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: CAVA scores 13/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.42 (+24.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAVA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $52.04, while resistance sits at $65.38. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: CAVA scores 13/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.42 (+24.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$52.67 -
$59.56
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$52.67 -
$59.56
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$52.04
Resistance Level
$65.38
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding CAVA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (13/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 24.9% below Wall St target ($75.42)
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
84.96
Wall Street Target
$75.42
(+24.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.3%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
85.0 vs 100.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$57.07
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$53.93
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$50.96
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 85→101)
$60.34
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 85.0, Growth: 34.6%)
$147.17
(+144%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 34.6%)
$34.40
(-43%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 34.6%)
$29.24
(-52%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 78.12 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.77
Bull Case
$72.92
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 82.0
Base Case
$60.39
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 78.1
Bear Case
$46.20
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 70.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 85.0 to 100.6
Stabilization Target:
$71.51
(+18.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.4%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CAVA)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 9, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
CAVA Group's earnings have raised questions about the company's valuation with recent operational challenges and a P/E ratio of 106.8x, far above industry average.
Key Retail Themes:
CAVA Group's earnings power and valuation
Excitement around expansion potential
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 10, 2026 9:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAVA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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