CHA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CHA - Chagee Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares
$11.25
0.06 (0.54%)
▲
5d:
+0.45%
30d:
-6.02%
90d:
+1.35%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CHA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CHA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.23
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 0.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CHA is currently trading at $11.25, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.11 to $11.76. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 1.1) compared to its historical average (0.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.88, while resistance sits at $12.27.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.58 (+29.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.88, while resistance sits at $12.27.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.58 (+29.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$11.11 -
$11.76
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.6% below Wall St target ($14.58)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.5% growth with 4.5% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.11 -
$11.76
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.88
Resistance Level
$12.27
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.05
Wall Street Target
$14.58
(+29.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.3%
Profit Margin
7.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.5% premium
PE vs Historical
1.1 vs 0.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.98
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$12.76
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$13.59
(+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→1)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.70
(+4%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 8.9%)
$287.77
(+2458%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.0, Growth: 8.9%)
$14.51
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.9, Growth: 8.9%)
$12.34
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.73
Bull Case
$24.62
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 16.9
Base Case
$22.38
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 15.3
Bear Case
$7.61
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 10:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CHA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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