C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CHRW - C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.
$142.39
1.44 (1.02%)
▲
5d:
-1.0%
30d:
-4.87%
90d:
-23.66%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CHRW appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.9% annual earnings decline despite 24% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CHRW appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.9% annual earnings decline despite 24% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
CHRW is flagged by 1 backtest-validated scanner today
SPY Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 0.37% over the next 20 trading days; CHRW has been on it 2 days). Backtested on 8 months of scanner history vs the S&P 500, as of 2026-10-22.
See all of today's Best Signals in the free scanner →Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$308.94
Based on 11.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$191.83
25.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CHRW is currently trading at $142.38, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $140.91 to $154.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.8) compared to its historical average (24.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 23.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHRW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $146.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CHRW scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $192.13 (+36.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHRW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $146.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CHRW scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $192.13 (+36.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$140.91 -
$154.13
Company Quality Score
70/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.3% below Wall St target ($192.13)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 75/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$140.91 -
$154.13
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$132.93
Resistance Level
$146.40
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.80
Wall Street Target
$192.13
(+36.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.8%
Profit Margin
3.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.8 vs 24.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$129.81
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$119.56
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$110.11
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→24)
$141.15
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 18.9%)
$250.24
(+78%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: 18.9%)
$236.89
(+68%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.0, Growth: 18.9%)
$201.36
(+43%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.24
Bull Case
$221.23
(+57%)
Analyst growth 43.1%, PE expands to 29.5
Base Case
$201.12
(+43%)
Market implied 43.1%, PE stable at 26.8
Bear Case
$95.59
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.8 to 24.1
Stabilization Target:
$180.68
(+28.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 12:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CHRW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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