C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CHRW - C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.
$152.78
0.36 (0.24%)
▲
5d:
+4.16%
30d:
+4.14%
90d:
-20.06%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $147.64 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 5.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CHRW appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.2% annual earnings decline despite 24% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CHRW appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.2% annual earnings decline despite 24% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$325.06
Based on 12.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$201.84
24.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CHRW is currently trading at $152.78, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $144.53 to $151.09. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.4) compared to its historical average (24.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 23.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHRW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $155.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CHRW scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $199.40 (+30.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHRW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $155.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CHRW scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $199.40 (+30.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$144.53 -
$151.09
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (74/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.5% below Wall St target ($199.40)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 74/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$144.53 -
$151.09
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$144.02
Resistance Level
$155.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.37
Wall Street Target
$199.40
(+30.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.8%
Profit Margin
3.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.4 vs 24.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$143.31
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$134.42
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$126.09
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→25)
$152.87
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 20.1%)
$264.77
(+73%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 20.1%)
$262.13
(+72%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 20.1%)
$222.81
(+46%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.31
Bull Case
$236.79
(+55%)
Analyst growth 41.2%, PE expands to 31.6
Base Case
$215.26
(+41%)
Market implied 41.2%, PE stable at 28.7
Bear Case
$103.65
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.4 to 24.7
Stabilization Target:
$185.23
(+21.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 3:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CHRW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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