CHRW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CHRW - C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.
$147.73
0.81 (0.55%)
▲
5d:
-20.79%
30d:
-22.76%
90d:
-18.74%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CHRW is down 20.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CHRW is down 20.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$330.89
Based on 12.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$205.46
28.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CHRW is currently trading at $147.73, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $172.35 to $203.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.8) compared to its historical average (25.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHRW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $143.16, while resistance sits at $210.33.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $199.80 (+35.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHRW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $143.16, while resistance sits at $210.33.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $199.80 (+35.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$172.35 -
$203.33
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CHRW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.2% below Wall St target ($199.80)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -20.8% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$172.35 -
$203.33
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$143.16
Resistance Level
$210.33
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.76
Wall Street Target
$199.80
(+35.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.9%
Profit Margin
3.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.8 vs 25.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$135.47
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$124.22
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$113.91
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→26)
$147.60
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 20.5%)
$270.90
(+83%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.8, Growth: 20.5%)
$258.18
(+75%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.8, Growth: 20.5%)
$219.46
(+49%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.93
Bull Case
$245.12
(+66%)
Analyst growth 51.7%, PE expands to 32.8
Base Case
$222.84
(+51%)
Market implied 51.7%, PE stable at 29.8
Bear Case
$99.91
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.8 to 25.6
Stabilization Target:
$191.42
(+29.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 11:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CHRW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
7
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
April McClain Delaney
BUY
2026-02-13
Arun Rajan
BUY
605 shares
2026-02-12
David P Bozeman
BUY
1223 shares
2026-02-12
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