C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CHRW - C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.
$153.14
5.18 (3.50%)
▲
5d:
+4.75%
30d:
+3.56%
90d:
-19.34%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
Get Alerted When CHRW Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CHRW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CHRW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$321.29
Based on 12.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$199.49
23.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CHRW is currently trading at $153.14, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $146.55 to $153.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.4) compared to its historical average (24.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 23.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHRW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $154.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $197.56 (+29.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHRW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $154.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $197.56 (+29.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$146.55 -
$153.61
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CHRW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (59/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 29.0% below Wall St target ($197.56)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (59/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$146.55 -
$153.61
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$8.83
(5.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$145.02
Resistance Level
$154.98
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.41
Wall Street Target
$197.56
(+29.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.8%
Profit Margin
3.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.4 vs 24.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$144.26
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$135.89
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$128.01
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→24)
$153.04
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 20.1%)
$265.59
(+73%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 20.1%)
$265.46
(+73%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 20.1%)
$225.64
(+47%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.24
Bull Case
$233.05
(+52%)
Analyst growth 43.2%, PE expands to 31.1
Base Case
$211.87
(+38%)
Market implied 43.2%, PE stable at 28.2
Bear Case
$100.61
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.4 to 24.4
Stabilization Target:
$183.08
(+19.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 7:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:42 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is CHRW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Integrated Freight & Logistics Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Integrated Freight & Logistics by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
FDX
FedEx Corporation |
BUY
32 analysts |
$355 | 59 HOLD |
|
UPS
United Parcel Service Inc |
BUY
32 analysts |
$116 | 52 HOLD |
|
ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$28 | 51 HOLD |
|
JBHT
JB Hunt Transport Servic… |
BUY
26 analysts |
$298 | 58 HOLD |
|
GXO
GXO Logistics Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$69 | 53 HOLD |
Advanced CHRW Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CHRW price and gamma walls.
