CHTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CHTR - Charter Comm Inc Del CL A New

CABLE & OTHER PAY TELEVISION SERVICES
$109.29
-2.08 (-1.87%) ▼
5d: -3.21%
30d: -31.25%
90d: -19.31%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 30, 2026 26d
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 28, 2026 at $111.40 · last confirmed Sep 30, 2026

Strength: 8.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CHTR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$231.02
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$143.44
23.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CHTR is currently trading at $109.29, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $118.21 to $151.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.5) compared to its historical average (3.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 16.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CHTR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $108.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $175.11 (+60.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $118.21 - $151.49
Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 60.2% below Wall St target ($175.11)
  • WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $118.21 - $151.49
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $108.30
Resistance Level $129.37
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 2.51
Wall Street Target $175.11 (+60.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -1.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 16.1%
Profit Margin 9.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -13.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 2.5 vs 3.8 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -13.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $98.36 (-10%)
2-Year Target $88.52 (-19%)
3-Year Target $79.67 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 3→4) $120.47 (+10%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 9.9%) $1176.76 (+977%)
Base: (SPY PE: 2.5, Growth: 9.9%) $144.97 (+33%)
Bear: (PE: 2.1, Growth: 9.9%) $123.22 (+13%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (3x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (3x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 2.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $38.59
Bull Case $138.06 (+26%)
Analyst growth 12.7%, PE expands to 3.2
Base Case $125.51 (+15%)
Market implied 12.7%, PE stable at 2.9
Bear Case $75.73 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 2.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.5 to 3.8
Stabilization Target: $165.25 (+51.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +51.2%
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Last updated: October 03, 2026 12:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:03 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced CHTR Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CHTR price and gamma walls.

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