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CHTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$132.66
-3.65 (-2.68%) ▼
5d: +5.4% 30d: +26.17% 90d: -14.01%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (24%)
Quality Score
35/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$103.51 – $121.87
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
3.0x CHEAP
vs 3.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$170.50
+28.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$109.26 / $139.04
Trend: Strong Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CHTR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Nov 2, 2026 at $115.36 · last confirmed Nov 12, 2026

Strength: 8.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$319.55
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$198.42
33.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CHTR is currently trading at $132.66, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $103.51 to $121.87. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.0) compared to its historical average (3.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 16.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CHTR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $109.26, while resistance sits at $139.04.

Market Sentiment: CHTR scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $170.50 (+28.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $103.51 - $121.87
Company Quality Score 35/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 23.8%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $103.51 - $121.87
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $109.26
Resistance Level $139.04
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 12, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.9% above its trading range)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 28.5% below Wall St target ($170.50)
  • WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 2.99
Wall Street Target $170.50 (+28.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 16.1%
Profit Margin 2.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -6.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 3.0 vs 3.7 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -6.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $124.04 (-7%)
2-Year Target $115.97 (-13%)
3-Year Target $108.44 (-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 3→4) $134.13 (+1%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 42.0%) $2524.21 (+1803%)
Base: (SPY PE: 3.0, Growth: 42.0%) $380.18 (+187%)
Bear: (PE: 2.5, Growth: 42.0%) $323.15 (+144%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (3x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.64
Bull Case $299.88 (+126%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 14.1
Base Case $272.62 (+106%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 12.8
Bear Case $92.69 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.0 to 3.7
Stabilization Target: $164.10 (+23.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +23.7%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CHTR)

Bullish 4 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
3 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 12, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: US equities are set for a cautious open, with investors reacting to another hot inflation print and the resulting implications for interest rates. $CHTR saw bullish sentiment on StockTwits.
Key Retail Themes: investor reaction to inflation impact of inflation on interest rates
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:48 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive CHTR Research Pages
CHTR Technical Chart CHTR Price Prediction CHTR Intrinsic Value DCF CHTR Earnings Date Why is CHTR Moving Today? CHTR Investment Advisor CHTR Fair Price Analyzer CHTR Options Chain CHTR Options Advisor CHTR Options Analysis CHTR Competitors
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