Comcast (CMCSA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$24.80
-0.22 (-0.88%)
▼
5d:
-0.6%
30d:
+17.81%
90d:
-5.27%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
0d
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Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (27%)
Quality Score
28/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$21.18 – $24.05
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
7.0x
FAIR
vs 6.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$27.98
+12.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$22.60 / $25.35
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CMCSA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 5, 2026 at $24.95 · last confirmed Nov 6, 2026
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.32
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.38
15.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMCSA is currently trading at $24.80, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.18 to $24.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.0) is in line with its historical norms (6.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMCSA is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.35. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CMCSA scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.98 (+12.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMCSA is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.35. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CMCSA scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.98 (+12.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$21.18 -
$24.05
Company Quality Score
28/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$21.18 -
$24.05
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$22.60
Resistance Level
$25.35
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($27.98)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 28/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.04
Wall Street Target
$27.98
(+12.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.8%
Profit Margin
9.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
7.0 vs 6.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.95
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$25.10
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$25.25
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$24.74
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 66.3%)
$71.35
(+188%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.0, Growth: 66.3%)
$25.30
(+2%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.0, Growth: 66.3%)
$21.50
(-13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.16
Bull Case
$30.67
(+24%)
Analyst growth 11.5%, PE expands to 8.7
Base Case
$27.89
(+12%)
Market implied 11.5%, PE stable at 7.9
Bear Case
$17.01
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CMCSA)
Bearish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 5, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A little-known quantitative ETF, Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value ETF (QVAL), has outperformed Vanguard Value ETF (VTV) in 2026, using a rules-based process to pick undervalued U.S. stocks. Comcast (CMCSA) is one of the top holdings in the fund.
Key Retail Themes:
Quantitative value investing and its outperformance in 2026
Comcast as a top holding in Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value ETF
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMCSA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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