Comcast (CMCSA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMCSA - Comcast Corp
$21.57
-0.13 (-0.60%)
▼
5d:
-1.55%
30d:
-19.54%
90d:
-7.74%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CMCSA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CMCSA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.72
Based on 3.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.45
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMCSA is currently trading at $21.57, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.33 to $26.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.0) compared to its historical average (7.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMCSA is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.39. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.80 (+33.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMCSA is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.39. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.80 (+33.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$22.33 -
$26.49
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CMCSA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.5% below Wall St target ($28.80)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.33 -
$26.49
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.40
Resistance Level
$23.13
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.02
Wall Street Target
$28.80
(+33.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-66.8%
Profit Margin
9.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.0 vs 7.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.53
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$19.55
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$18.61
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→7)
$21.64
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 2.9%)
$79.67
(+269%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.0, Growth: 2.9%)
$23.51
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.1, Growth: 2.9%)
$19.99
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (7x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 6.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.11
Bull Case
$27.50
(+28%)
Analyst growth 15.2%, PE expands to 7.7
Base Case
$25.00
(+16%)
Market implied 15.2%, PE stable at 7.0
Bear Case
$14.76
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.0 to 7.0
Stabilization Target:
$25.08
(+16.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 9:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMCSA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CMCSA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CMCSA price and gamma walls.
