Comerica (CMA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$88.67
-4.19 (-4.51%)
âŧ
5d:
-6.33%
30d:
+1.37%
90d:
+15.5%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
0d
Protect CMA Gains
Updated Jan 30, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (58%)
Quality Score
45/100
Position
FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
15.7x
FAIR
vs 16.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$89.25
+0.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
UNKNOWN Vol
UNKNOWN volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$88.67 / $99.41
Trend: Support Break
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CMA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$138.43
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$85.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMA is currently trading at $88.67, which is considered fair based on recent price action. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.7) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMA is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $88.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMA is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $88.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
58.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
Support Level
$88.67
Resistance Level
$99.41
Current Trend
Support Break
Technical data as of
Jan 30, 2026
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.5%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($89.25)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.69
Wall Street Target
$89.25
(+0.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Profit Margin
22.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.7 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$88.14
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$87.61
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$87.08
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16â16)
$88.79
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 13.9%)
$186.30
(+110%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.7, Growth: 13.9%)
$131.10
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.3, Growth: 13.9%)
$111.43
(+26%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.7 to 16.0
Stabilization Target:
$90.41
(+2.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.0%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CMA)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bullish
Last Tracked
Sep 23, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on CMA are bullish (sentiment score +0.38) across 2 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:52 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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