CMS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMS - CMS Energy Corporation
$68.27
-1.56 (-2.23%)
▼
5d:
-3.99%
30d:
-7.93%
90d:
-7.29%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When CMS Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CMS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CMS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$99.24
Based on 5.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$61.62
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMS is currently trading at $68.27, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $70.30 to $74.17. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.4) is in line with its historical norms (18.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $68.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CMS scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $79.67 (+16.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $68.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CMS scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $79.67 (+16.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$70.30 -
$74.17
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CMS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($79.67)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$70.30 -
$74.17
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$68.25
Resistance Level
$72.44
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.42
Wall Street Target
$79.67
(+16.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-43.9%
Profit Margin
11.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.4 vs 18.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$66.09
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$63.97
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$61.92
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→18)
$68.24
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 7.4%)
$103.25
(+51%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.4, Growth: 7.4%)
$84.49
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.0, Growth: 7.4%)
$71.82
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.29
Bull Case
$97.05
(+42%)
Analyst growth 26.3%, PE expands to 23.4
Base Case
$88.23
(+29%)
Market implied 26.3%, PE stable at 21.2
Bear Case
$47.48
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.4 to 18.1
Stabilization Target:
$75.24
(+10.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 7:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:14 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is CMS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott B Mcintosh
SELL
1750 shares
2026-03-02
Brandon J Hofmeister
SELL
4000 shares
2026-02-27
Diane Leopold
BUY
2000 shares
2026-02-25
Top Rated Utilities - Regulated Electric Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Utilities - Regulated Electric by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
NEE
Nextera Energy Inc |
BUY
22 analysts |
$99 | 55 HOLD |
|
ETR
Entergy Corporation |
BUY
20 analysts |
$123 | 63 BUY |
|
PPL
PPL Corporation |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$42 | 59 HOLD |
|
EVRG
Evergy, Inc. |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$92 | 64 BUY |
|
XEL
Xcel Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$92 | 56 HOLD |
Advanced CMS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CMS price and gamma walls.
