CMS Energy (CMS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMS - CMS Energy Corporation
$68.13
-0.29 (-0.42%)
▼
5d:
+1.96%
30d:
+6.01%
90d:
-8.12%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CMS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CMS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$96.80
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$60.10
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMS is currently trading at $68.13, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $63.55 to $67.03. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.4) is in line with its historical norms (17.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $68.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CMS scores 10/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.42 (+10.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $68.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CMS scores 10/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.42 (+10.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$63.55 -
$67.03
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
26.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CMS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (10/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($75.42)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$63.55 -
$67.03
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$64.53
Resistance Level
$68.99
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.39
Wall Street Target
$75.42
(+10.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-43.9%
Profit Margin
11.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.4 vs 17.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$66.43
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$64.77
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$63.15
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→18)
$68.18
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.3%)
$101.84
(+50%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.4, Growth: 7.3%)
$84.07
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.9, Growth: 7.3%)
$71.46
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.33
Bull Case
$93.93
(+38%)
Analyst growth 24.8%, PE expands to 22.6
Base Case
$85.39
(+25%)
Market implied 24.8%, PE stable at 20.6
Bear Case
$46.53
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.4 to 17.7
Stabilization Target:
$73.56
(+8.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 21, 2026 6:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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