COTY (COTY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
COTY - COTY INC
$2.65
0.04 (1.53%)
â˛
5d:
+0.76%
30d:
-6.69%
90d:
+15.22%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: COTY is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 5.2% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: COTY is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 5.2% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.42
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.74
3.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: COTY is currently trading at $2.65, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.58 to $2.83. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 7.7) compared to its historical average (6.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COTY is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $2.40, while resistance sits at $2.75.
Market Sentiment: COTY scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COTY is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $2.40, while resistance sits at $2.75.
Market Sentiment: COTY scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$2.58 -
$2.83
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding COTY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($2.68)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.2% growth with 1.3% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.58 -
$2.83
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.40
Resistance Level
$2.76
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.71
Wall Street Target
$2.68
(+1.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-22.2%
Profit Margin
-10.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.2% premium
PE vs Historical
7.7 vs 6.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.79
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$2.93
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$3.09
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8â7)
PE COMPRESSION
$2.64
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 52.0%)
$23.68
(+794%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.7, Growth: 52.0%)
$8.94
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.5, Growth: 52.0%)
$7.60
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 5:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is COTY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's COTY price and gamma walls.
