COTY (COTY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$4.33
+0.11 (+2.61%)
▲
5d:
+31.61%
30d:
+48.8%
90d:
+56.88%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
0d
Protect COTY Gains
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (9%)
Quality Score
41/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$2.83 – $3.68
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
12.6x
STRETCHED
vs 6.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$3.18
-26.6% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$3.20 / $4.37
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: COTY is 17.7% above its trading range ($3.68). Market expects 22.0% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 5, 2026 at $3.85 · last confirmed Nov 6, 2026
Strength: 7.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.62
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.87
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: COTY is currently trading at $4.33, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.83 to $3.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.6) compared to its historical average (6.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 22.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COTY is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $4.37. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: COTY scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $3.18. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COTY is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $4.37. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: COTY scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $3.18. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$2.83 -
$3.68
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
8.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$2.83 -
$3.68
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$3.20
Resistance Level
$4.37
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
COTY is technically overbought (RSI 83). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+17.7% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 26.6% above Wall St target ($3.18)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 22.0% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.59
Wall Street Target
$3.18
(-26.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
71.4%
Profit Margin
-9.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+22.0% premium
PE vs Historical
12.6 vs 6.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+22.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.28
(+22%)
2-Year Target
$6.44
(+49%)
3-Year Target
$7.86
(+82%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$4.31
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 52.0%)
$23.05
(+432%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 52.0%)
$14.61
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.9, Growth: 52.0%)
$8.01
(+85%)
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (COTY)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits is currently bullish on $COTY, expressing optimism about the holiday season's potential impact on the company.
Key Retail Themes:
Holiday season
Positive outlook
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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