COTY (COTY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

COTY - COTY INC

PERFUMES, COSMETICS & OTHER TOILET PREPARATIONS
$2.70
0.07 (2.66%) ▲
5d: -7.85%
30d: -2.17%
90d: +33.0%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 8, 2026 at $2.73 · last confirmed Sep 10, 2026

Strength: 7.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: COTY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.42
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.74
1.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: COTY is currently trading at $2.70, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.71 to $2.89. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 7.8) compared to its historical average (6.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.2% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, COTY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $2.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: COTY scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $2.71 - $2.89
Company Quality Score 46/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 55.7%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($2.69)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.2% growth with 1.3% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $2.71 - $2.89
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $2.62
Resistance Level $2.98
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.85
Wall Street Target $2.69 (-0.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -22.2%
Profit Margin -10.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +6.2% premium
PE vs Historical 7.9 vs 6.6 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +6.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $2.87 (+6%)
2-Year Target $3.05 (+13%)
3-Year Target $3.23 (+20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→7) PE COMPRESSION $2.72 (+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 52.0%) $23.41 (+767%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: 52.0%) $9.11 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 6.6, Growth: 52.0%) $7.66 (+184%)
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 3:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:01 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced COTY Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's COTY price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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