CEMENTOS PACASMAYO S.A.A. (CPAC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CPAC - CEMENTOS PACASMAYO S.A.A.
$12.65
-0.03 (-0.24%)
▼
5d:
+3.1%
30d:
+2.1%
90d:
+7.57%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 19, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
7d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CPAC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CPAC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.38
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.69
50.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CPAC is currently trading at $12.65, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.17 to $12.53. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.9) compared to its historical average (53.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 34.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 61.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPAC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPAC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$12.17 -
$12.53
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($12.79)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (54/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.17 -
$12.53
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.11
Resistance Level
$12.73
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 19, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.92
Wall Street Target
$12.79
(+0.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
61.5%
Profit Margin
9.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-34.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.9 vs 53.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-34.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.41
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$10.27
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$9.24
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→53)
$33.03
(+161%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 46.0%)
$52.59
(+315%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.9, Growth: 46.0%)
$39.50
(+212%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: 46.0%)
$33.58
(+165%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.71
Bull Case
$16.69
(+32%)
Analyst growth 19.7%, PE expands to 19.6
Base Case
$15.17
(+20%)
Market implied 19.7%, PE stable at 17.9
Bear Case
$8.62
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.9 to 53.3
Stabilization Target:
$45.30
(+257.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+257.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 19, 2026 2:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CPAC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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