CPAC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CPAC - CEMENTOS PACASMAYO S.A.A.

Cement, Hydraulic
$12.01
0.06 (0.50%) ▲
5d: +12.03%
30d: +12.45%
90d: +18.09%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 20, 2026 25d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: CPAC is 10.1% above its trading range ($10.91). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CPAC is currently trading at $12.01, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.36 to $10.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 78.0) compared to its historical average (69.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CPAC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $12.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: CPAC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $10.36 - $10.91
Company Quality Score 67/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 48.6%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+10.1% above its trading range)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($12.90)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $10.36 - $10.91
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $10.20
Resistance Level $12.27
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Jun 17, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 77.99
Wall Street Target $12.90 (+7.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 55.6%
Profit Margin 8.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.8% premium
PE vs Historical 78.0 vs 69.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $12.47 (+4%)
2-Year Target $12.94 (+8%)
3-Year Target $13.43 (+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 78→70) PE COMPRESSION $12.00 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 78.0, Growth: -14.9%) $8.76 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: -14.9%) $2.45 (-80%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: -14.9%) $2.08 (-83%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 19.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.62
Bull Case $6.57 (-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 21.2
Base Case $5.98 (-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 19.3
Bear Case $8.13 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 8:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:04 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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