CEMENTOS PACASMAYO S.A.A. (CPAC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CPAC - CEMENTOS PACASMAYO S.A.A.
$12.16
-0.07 (-0.57%)
▼
5d:
-1.86%
30d:
-1.62%
90d:
+2.1%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
27d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CPAC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CPAC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.38
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.69
52.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CPAC is currently trading at $12.16, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.14 to $12.60. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.3) compared to its historical average (56.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 36.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 61.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPAC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPAC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$12.14 -
$12.60
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($12.79)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (45/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.14 -
$12.60
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.10
Resistance Level
$12.65
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.31
Wall Street Target
$12.79
(+5.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
61.5%
Profit Margin
9.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-36.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.3 vs 56.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-36.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.94
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$9.85
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$8.86
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→56)
$34.95
(+187%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 46.0%)
$54.02
(+344%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.3, Growth: 46.0%)
$37.88
(+212%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.2, Growth: 46.0%)
$32.20
(+165%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.72
Bull Case
$15.88
(+31%)
Analyst growth 18.1%, PE expands to 18.7
Base Case
$14.44
(+19%)
Market implied 18.1%, PE stable at 17.0
Bear Case
$8.32
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.3 to 56.4
Stabilization Target:
$47.94
(+294.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+294.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 29, 2026 9:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CPAC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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