CPAC
CEMENTOS PACASMAYO S.A.A.
Cement, Hydraulic
CEMENTOS PACASMAYO S.A.A. (CPAC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$12.80
+0.07 (+0.55%)
▲
5d:
+0.71%
30d:
+4.32%
90d:
+8.38%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (46%)
Quality Score
49/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$12.35 – $12.79
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
15.1x
CHEAP
vs 50.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$12.78
-0.2% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$12.64 / $12.83
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CPAC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.58
Based on -4.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.29
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CPAC is currently trading at $12.80, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.35 to $12.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.1) compared to its historical average (50.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 33.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 69.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPAC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPAC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$12.35 -
$12.79
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$12.35 -
$12.79
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$12.64
Resistance Level
$12.83
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 9, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($12.78)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.06
Wall Street Target
$12.78
(-0.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
69.8%
Profit Margin
11.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-33.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.1 vs 50.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-33.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.52
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$10.37
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$9.33
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→50)
$31.23
(+144%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -13.3%)
$12.31
(+-4%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.1, Growth: -13.3%)
$9.33
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.8, Growth: -13.3%)
$7.93
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.89
Bull Case
$13.37
(+5%)
Analyst growth -4.5%, PE expands to 15.7
Base Case
$12.16
(-5%)
Market implied -4.5%, PE stable at 14.3
Bear Case
$8.66
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.1 to 50.4
Stabilization Target:
$42.84
(+234.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+234.7%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CPAC)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Nov 6, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on CPAC are bearish (sentiment score +0.00) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 10, 2026 8:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:20 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:20 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CPAC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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