CX
Cemex S.A.B. de C.V.
Cement, Hydraulic
Cemex S.A.B. de C.V. (CX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$10.47
-0.17 (-1.60%)
âŧ
5d:
-2.24%
30d:
+9.98%
90d:
-5.33%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (72%)
Quality Score
35/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$9.81 â $10.76
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.7x
FAIR
vs 12.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$14.77
+41.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$10.37 / $11.18
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.90
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.87
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CX is currently trading at $10.47, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.81 to $10.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.7) is in line with its historical norms (12.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 55.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.77 (+41.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.77 (+41.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$9.81 -
$10.76
Company Quality Score
35/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$9.81 -
$10.76
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$10.37
Resistance Level
$11.18
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.1% below Wall St target ($14.77)
- WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.71
Wall Street Target
$14.77
(+41.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
55.4%
Profit Margin
3.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 12.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.15
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$9.83
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$9.53
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12â13)
$10.49
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.3%)
$23.18
(+121%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: 9.3%)
$13.67
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 9.3%)
$11.62
(+11%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 12.44 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.84
Bull Case
$12.64
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 13.1
Base Case
$10.47
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case
$8.01
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 11.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.7 to 12.9
Stabilization Target:
$11.53
(+10.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.1%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CX)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Apr 24, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on CX are bearish (sentiment score -0.36) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 9:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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