KNF
Knife River Corporation
MINING & QUARRYING OF NONMETALLIC MINERALS (NO FUELS)
Knife River (KNF) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$56.68
-1.65 (-2.83%)
âŧ
5d:
-1.0%
30d:
+18.13%
90d:
-14.64%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (69%)
Quality Score
34/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$50.33 â $57.70
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
20.9x
FAIR
vs 19.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$69.80
+23.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$55.93 / $63.49
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: KNF is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$103.44
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$64.23
11.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KNF is currently trading at $56.68, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.33 to $57.70. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.9) is in line with its historical norms (19.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNF is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $55.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $69.80 (+23.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNF is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $55.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $69.80 (+23.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$50.33 -
$57.70
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$50.33 -
$57.70
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$55.93
Resistance Level
$63.49
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.1% below Wall St target ($69.80)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.3% growth with 6.0% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.92
Wall Street Target
$69.80
(+23.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.6%
Profit Margin
4.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
20.9 vs 19.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$57.98
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$59.32
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$60.68
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21â20)
PE COMPRESSION
$56.87
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.9, Growth: 25.8%)
$112.72
(+99%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 25.8%)
$107.03
(+89%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 25.8%)
$90.98
(+61%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.37
Bull Case
$73.37
(+29%)
Analyst growth 14.3%, PE expands to 27.1
Base Case
$66.70
(+18%)
Market implied 14.3%, PE stable at 24.6
Bear Case
$39.66
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (KNF)
Neutral
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jun 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits shows 100.0% bullish sentiment towards $KNF, with one user identifying a bullish above stomach candlestick pattern. No recent news articles were found.
Key Retail Themes:
Technical Analysis
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KNF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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