Knife River (KNF) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KNF - Knife River Corporation
$57.63
0.45 (0.79%)
▲
5d:
-7.24%
30d:
-14.52%
90d:
-24.09%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KNF shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KNF shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$158.62
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$98.49
41.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KNF is currently trading at $57.63, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.21 to $67.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.5) compared to its historical average (20.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNF is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $56.99. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KNF scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.67 (+60.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNF is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $56.99. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KNF scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.67 (+60.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$61.21 -
$67.56
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 60.8% below Wall St target ($92.67)
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$61.21 -
$67.56
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$56.99
Resistance Level
$68.01
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.50
Wall Street Target
$92.67
(+60.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-13.5%
Profit Margin
4.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.5 vs 20.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$51.87
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$46.68
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$42.01
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→21)
$59.38
(+3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 39.2%)
$216.02
(+275%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.5, Growth: 39.2%)
$155.34
(+170%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.3, Growth: 39.2%)
$132.04
(+129%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.42
Bull Case
$103.27
(+79%)
Analyst growth 64.2%, PE expands to 26.0
Base Case
$93.88
(+63%)
Market implied 64.2%, PE stable at 23.6
Bear Case
$38.88
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.5 to 20.5
Stabilization Target:
$81.45
(+41.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+41.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 1:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KNF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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