KNF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KNF - Knife River Corporation
$86.64
-0.85 (-0.97%)
▼
5d:
+7.2%
30d:
+17.64%
90d:
+2.29%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KNF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: KNF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$156.09
Based on 12.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$96.92
10.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KNF is currently trading at $86.64, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $73.02 to $82.01. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.1) is in line with its historical norms (21.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 36.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNF is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $79.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KNF has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.11 (+20.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNF is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $79.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KNF has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.11 (+20.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$73.02 -
$82.01
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.6% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.2% below Wall St target ($104.11)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$73.02 -
$82.01
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$72.01
Resistance Level
$79.64
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.14
Wall Street Target
$104.11
(+20.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
36.1%
Profit Margin
4.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.1 vs 21.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$86.55
(0%)
2-Year Target
$86.47
(0%)
3-Year Target
$86.38
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→21)
$86.61
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 21.2%)
$159.00
(+84%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.1, Growth: 21.2%)
$154.36
(+78%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.0, Growth: 21.2%)
$131.20
(+51%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.57
Bull Case
$153.44
(+77%)
Analyst growth 59.4%, PE expands to 37.5
Base Case
$139.49
(+61%)
Market implied 59.4%, PE stable at 34.0
Bear Case
$59.49
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.1 to 21.2
Stabilization Target:
$86.87
(+0.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 9:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:40 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is KNF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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