KNF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KNF - Knife River Corporation
$78.84
5.67 (7.75%)
▲
5d:
+0.38%
30d:
-7.12%
90d:
-15.21%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KNF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: KNF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$147.17
Based on 12.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$91.38
13.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KNF is currently trading at $78.84, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $76.40 to $85.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.9) is in line with its historical norms (21.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 36.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNF is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $72.01, while resistance sits at $81.51. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: KNF has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.33 (+31.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNF is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $72.01, while resistance sits at $81.51. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: KNF has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.33 (+31.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$76.40 -
$85.59
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 31.1% below Wall St target ($103.33)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$76.40 -
$85.59
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$72.01
Resistance Level
$81.51
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.92
Wall Street Target
$103.33
(+31.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
36.1%
Profit Margin
4.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.9 vs 21.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$77.34
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$75.87
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$74.43
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→21)
$78.83
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 20.3%)
$142.79
(+81%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 20.3%)
$137.22
(+74%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 20.3%)
$116.64
(+48%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.57
Bull Case
$123.94
(+57%)
Analyst growth 54.0%, PE expands to 31.3
Base Case
$112.67
(+43%)
Market implied 54.0%, PE stable at 28.5
Bear Case
$49.76
(-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.9 to 21.1
Stabilization Target:
$83.50
(+5.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 7:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KNF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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