KNF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KNF - Knife River Corporation
$78.41
-2.68 (-3.30%)
▼
5d:
-7.81%
30d:
+8.14%
90d:
-6.72%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KNF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: KNF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$147.87
Based on 12.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$91.82
14.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KNF is currently trading at $78.41, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $76.24 to $87.56. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.8) is in line with its historical norms (21.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 36.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNF is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $79.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.33 (+31.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNF is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $79.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.33 (+31.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$76.24 -
$87.56
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 31.8% below Wall St target ($103.33)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.8% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$76.24 -
$87.56
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$72.01
Resistance Level
$79.64
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.81
Wall Street Target
$103.33
(+31.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
36.1%
Profit Margin
4.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.8 vs 21.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$76.68
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$75.00
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$73.35
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→21)
$78.48
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 20.3%)
$150.02
(+91%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.8, Growth: 20.3%)
$136.47
(+74%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.8, Growth: 20.3%)
$116.00
(+48%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.57
Bull Case
$137.25
(+75%)
Analyst growth 54.0%, PE expands to 34.7
Base Case
$124.78
(+59%)
Market implied 54.0%, PE stable at 31.5
Bear Case
$55.10
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.8 to 21.2
Stabilization Target:
$83.90
(+7.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 10:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KNF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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