CSL Carlisle Companies, Inc. FABRICATED RUBBER PRODUCTS, NEC

Carlisle Companies (CSL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$397.94
+2.70 (+0.68%) ▲
5d: -0.22% 30d: +21.01% 90d: +5.89%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
31/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$325.29 – $380.37
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
16.5x FAIR
vs 15.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$401.88
+1.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$349.11 / $409.60
Trend: Sideways
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CSL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$562.55
Based on 9.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$349.30
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CSL is currently trading at $397.94, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $325.29 to $380.37. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.5) is in line with its historical norms (15.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CSL is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $409.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: CSL scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $325.29 - $380.37
Company Quality Score 31/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 24.8%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $325.29 - $380.37
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $349.11
Resistance Level $409.60
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($401.88)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 31/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.46
Wall Street Target $401.88 (+1.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 5.0%
Profit Margin 13.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.7% premium
PE vs Historical 16.5 vs 15.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $405.90 (+3%)
2-Year Target $416.86 (+6%)
3-Year Target $428.12 (+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→15) PE COMPRESSION $395.31 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 14.2%) $709.79 (+80%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.5, Growth: 14.2%) $588.33 (+49%)
Bear: (PE: 14.0, Growth: 14.2%) $500.08 (+27%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $17.84
Bull Case $587.14 (+49%)
Analyst growth 34.6%, PE expands to 24.5
Base Case $533.76 (+35%)
Market implied 34.6%, PE stable at 22.2
Bear Case $269.69 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CSL)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: A bullish investor on StockTwits reported a earnings beat for $CSL, while a Yahoo Finance article discusses the potential undervaluation of the stock based on its cash flows and Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis.
Key Retail Themes: earnings beat undervaluation
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 3:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:28 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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