CVI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CVI - CVR ENERGY, INC.
$33.09
-0.38 (-1.12%)
▼
5d:
+15.48%
30d:
+8.87%
90d:
+5.64%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CVI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CVI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.27
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.18
8.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CVI is currently trading at $33.09, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.46 to $31.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.6) compared to its historical average (24.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $29.95, while resistance sits at $36.43.
Market Sentiment: CVI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $28.80. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $29.95, while resistance sits at $36.43.
Market Sentiment: CVI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $28.80. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$27.46 -
$31.67
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 13.9% above Wall St target ($28.80)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.46 -
$31.67
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.95
Resistance Level
$36.43
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 12, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.63
Wall Street Target
$28.80
(-13.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-68.1%
Profit Margin
-0.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.6 vs 24.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.15
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$29.00
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$27.00
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→24)
$33.56
(+0%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.6 to 24.4
Stabilization Target:
$41.59
(+24.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 10:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:49 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CVI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Carl C Icahn
BUY
275012 shares
2026-02-24
Carl C Icahn
BUY
244940 shares
2026-02-23
Carl C Icahn
BUY
263452 shares
2026-02-20
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