CVI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CVI - CVR ENERGY, INC.
$27.20
-0.70 (-2.51%)
▼
5d:
-5.82%
30d:
-14.57%
90d:
-16.18%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CVI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CVI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.59
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.42
45.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CVI is currently trading at $27.20, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.32 to $34.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.6) compared to its historical average (25.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CVI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.67 (+12.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CVI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.67 (+12.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$29.32 -
$34.42
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($30.67)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.8%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.32 -
$34.42
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.95
Resistance Level
$36.43
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 12, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.64
Wall Street Target
$30.67
(+12.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-68.1%
Profit Margin
-0.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.6 vs 25.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.48
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$22.03
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$19.83
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→25)
$30.15
(+11%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 26.4%)
$71.90
(+164%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.6, Growth: 26.4%)
$54.92
(+102%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.1, Growth: 26.4%)
$46.68
(+72%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.6 to 25.3
Stabilization Target:
$41.36
(+52.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+52.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 4:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:08 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CVI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Carl C Icahn
BUY
275012 shares
2026-02-24
Carl C Icahn
BUY
244940 shares
2026-02-23
Carl C Icahn
BUY
263452 shares
2026-02-20
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