CVI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CVI - CVR ENERGY, INC.
$35.51
-0.15 (-0.42%)
▼
5d:
+10.9%
30d:
+3.83%
90d:
+34.25%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CVI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CVI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.59
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.42
28.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CVI is currently trading at $35.51, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.51 to $34.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.7) compared to its historical average (26.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $36.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CVI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $31.67. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $36.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CVI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $31.67. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$32.51 -
$34.70
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 10.8% above Wall St target ($31.67)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.51 -
$34.70
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.59
Resistance Level
$36.43
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.72
Wall Street Target
$31.67
(-10.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-68.1%
Profit Margin
-0.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.7 vs 26.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.45
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$31.51
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$29.68
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→26)
$35.53
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 101.2%)
$120.89
(+241%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.7, Growth: 101.2%)
$119.85
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 101.2%)
$101.87
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.7 to 26.0
Stabilization Target:
$42.51
(+19.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 9:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:28 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CVI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Carl C Icahn
BUY
275012 shares
2026-02-24
Carl C Icahn
BUY
244940 shares
2026-02-23
Carl C Icahn
BUY
263452 shares
2026-02-20
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