CVI
CVR ENERGY, INC.
PETROLEUM REFINING
CVR ENERGY (CVI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$41.06
+0.45 (+1.11%)
▲
5d:
+3.06%
30d:
-33.73%
90d:
+16.45%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
0d
Protect CVI Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
LOW Confidence (88%)
Quality Score
57/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$45.78 – $62.65
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.9x
CHEAP
vs 21.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$47.50
+15.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$37.22 / $58.85
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: CVI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$112.47
Based on 4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$69.84
41.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CVI is currently trading at $41.06, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.78 to $62.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.8) compared to its historical average (21.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 23.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 52.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $37.22, while resistance sits at $58.85.
Market Sentiment: CVI scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.50 (+15.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $37.22, while resistance sits at $58.85.
Market Sentiment: CVI scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.50 (+15.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$45.78 -
$62.65
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$45.78 -
$62.65
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$37.22
Resistance Level
$58.85
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding CVI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($47.50)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 23% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.85
Wall Street Target
$47.50
(+15.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
68.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
52.4%
Profit Margin
2.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-23.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 21.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-23.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.95
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$33.26
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$29.93
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→22)
$65.33
(+59%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 5.3%)
$96.56
(+135%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: 5.3%)
$47.89
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 5.3%)
$40.71
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.63
Bull Case
$70.80
(+72%)
Analyst growth 58.5%, PE expands to 17.0
Base Case
$64.36
(+57%)
Market implied 58.5%, PE stable at 15.4
Bear Case
$27.61
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.9 to 21.5
Stabilization Target:
$89.61
(+118.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+118.3%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CVI)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 4, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
CVR Energy CVI priced a 500 million common stock offering at 47.55 a share, which could negatively impact investor sentiment towards the stock.
Key Retail Themes:
Stock offering
Impact on investor sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 7:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CVI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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