Dominion Energy (D) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

D - Dominion Energy, Inc Common Stock

ELECTRIC SERVICES
$62.45
0.81 (1.31%) ▲
5d: +2.34%
30d: -2.97%
90d: -12.41%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 30, 2026 16d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: D shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$84.07
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.20
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: D is currently trading at $62.45, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.83 to $64.69. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.4) is in line with its historical norms (17.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, D is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $62.52. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: D scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $71.58 (+14.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $60.83 - $64.69
Company Quality Score 66/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 81.0%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (71/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($71.58)
  • CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 12% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $60.83 - $64.69
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $59.44
Resistance Level $62.52
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 12, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.36
Wall Street Target $71.58 (+14.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 17.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -58.0%
Profit Margin 14.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 16.4 vs 17.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $61.58 (-1%)
2-Year Target $60.71 (-3%)
3-Year Target $59.86 (-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→17) $62.55 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.4%) $91.32 (+46%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.4, Growth: 6.4%) $75.25 (+21%)
Bear: (PE: 13.9, Growth: 6.4%) $63.96 (+2%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.40 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.88
Bull Case $89.85 (+44%)
Analyst growth 32.5%, PE expands to 23.5
Base Case $81.68 (+31%)
Market implied 32.5%, PE stable at 21.4
Bear Case $41.92 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.4 to 17.1
Stabilization Target: $65.26 (+4.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +4.5%
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Last updated: October 13, 2026 5:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:06 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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