Dominion Energy (D) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

D - Dominion Energy, Inc Common Stock

ELECTRIC SERVICES
$62.33
-0.51 (-0.81%) ▼
5d: -0.75%
30d: -0.16%
90d: -12.78%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your D Gains
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 30, 2026 7d
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 15, 2026 at $62.94 · last confirmed Oct 21, 2026

Strength: 4.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: D shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$83.55
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$51.88
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: D is currently trading at $62.33, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.95 to $63.34. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.3) is in line with its historical norms (17.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, D is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $61.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.83 (+13.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $60.95 - $63.34
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 70.0%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($70.83)
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (47/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $60.95 - $63.34
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $61.07
Resistance Level $63.92
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.34
Wall Street Target $70.83 (+13.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 17.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -58.0%
Profit Margin 14.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 16.3 vs 17.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $61.46 (-1%)
2-Year Target $60.60 (-3%)
3-Year Target $59.75 (-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→17) $62.17 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.4%) $91.30 (+47%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.3, Growth: 6.4%) $75.11 (+21%)
Bear: (PE: 13.9, Growth: 6.4%) $63.84 (+2%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.89
Bull Case $91.25 (+46%)
Analyst growth 32.0%, PE expands to 23.9
Base Case $82.96 (+33%)
Market implied 32.0%, PE stable at 21.7
Bear Case $42.73 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.3 to 17.0
Stabilization Target: $64.86 (+4.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +4.1%
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Last updated: October 22, 2026 7:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:05 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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