Dominion Energy (D) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

D - Dominion Energy, Inc Common Stock

ELECTRIC SERVICES
$64.36
-0.69 (-1.06%) ▼
5d: -3.64%
30d: -5.41%
90d: -3.49%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your D Gains
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 30, 2026
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 8, 2026 at $66.36 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 4.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: D shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$84.05
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.19
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: D is currently trading at $64.36, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.81 to $68.34. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.9) is in line with its historical norms (17.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, D is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $64.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: D scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $71.82 (+11.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $65.81 - $68.34
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 54.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (39/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($71.82)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $65.81 - $68.34
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $64.36
Resistance Level $66.95
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.87
Wall Street Target $71.82 (+11.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 17.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -58.0%
Profit Margin 14.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 16.9 vs 17.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $64.04 (-1%)
2-Year Target $63.72 (-1%)
3-Year Target $63.40 (-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→17) $64.27 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 6.4%) $92.78 (+44%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.9, Growth: 6.4%) $77.59 (+21%)
Bear: (PE: 14.3, Growth: 6.4%) $65.95 (+3%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.89
Bull Case $94.47 (+47%)
Analyst growth 32.0%, PE expands to 24.8
Base Case $85.88 (+33%)
Market implied 32.0%, PE stable at 22.5
Bear Case $44.23 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.9 to 17.1
Stabilization Target: $65.24 (+1.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +1.4%
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 3:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:20 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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