DBX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DBX - Dropbox, Inc. Class A
$29.58
0.39 (1.34%)
▲
5d:
+3.75%
30d:
+6.98%
90d:
+34.09%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DBX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: DBX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.64
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.61
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DBX is currently trading at $29.58, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.36 to $28.62. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.7) is in line with its historical norms (8.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DBX is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.94. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DBX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $26.17. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DBX is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.94. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DBX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $26.17. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$26.36 -
$28.62
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DBX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 11.5% above Wall St target ($26.17)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.3% growth with 0.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.36 -
$28.62
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.85
Resistance Level
$28.94
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.69
Wall Street Target
$26.17
(-11.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.9%
Profit Margin
18.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
8.7 vs 8.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.26
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$30.96
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$31.67
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.53
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.1%)
$101.59
(+243%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.7, Growth: 11.1%)
$40.51
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: 11.1%)
$34.44
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.83
Bull Case
$59.75
(+102%)
Analyst growth 86.1%, PE expands to 17.6
Base Case
$54.32
(+84%)
Market implied 86.1%, PE stable at 16.0
Bear Case
$19.85
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 8:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DBX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
1415 shares
2026-04-15
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SELL
111166 shares
2026-04-01
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1416 shares
2026-03-31
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DBX price and gamma walls.
