DNOW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DNOW - DNOW Inc.
$13.41
-0.30 (-2.19%)
▼
5d:
-2.12%
30d:
+4.03%
90d:
+14.13%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DNOW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DNOW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.90
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.60
1.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DNOW is currently trading at $13.41, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.04 to $13.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.7) compared to its historical average (13.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DNOW is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.71, while resistance sits at $13.84.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.25 (+21.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DNOW is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.71, while resistance sits at $13.84.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.25 (+21.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$13.04 -
$13.64
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.2% below Wall St target ($16.25)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.9% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.04 -
$13.64
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.72
Resistance Level
$13.84
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.74
Wall Street Target
$16.25
(+21.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
97.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
90.5%
Profit Margin
-4.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.9% premium
PE vs Historical
15.7 vs 13.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.20
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$15.04
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$15.93
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.36
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 163.0%)
$62.63
(+367%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.7, Growth: 163.0%)
$45.26
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.2, Growth: 163.0%)
$37.96
(+183%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 9:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:38 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DNOW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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