DNOW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DNOW - DNOW Inc.
$15.68
0.14 (0.90%)
â˛
5d:
-4.56%
30d:
+8.89%
90d:
+21.64%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: DNOW is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 10.7% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: DNOW is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 10.7% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.57
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.01
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DNOW is currently trading at $15.68, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.66 to $15.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.1) compared to its historical average (14.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DNOW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DNOW scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.75 (+19.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DNOW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DNOW scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.75 (+19.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$13.66 -
$15.99
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
39.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DNOW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (8/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($18.75)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 10.7% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.66 -
$15.99
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.36
Resistance Level
$17.20
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.08
Wall Street Target
$18.75
(+19.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
108.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
90.5%
Profit Margin
-4.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.7% premium
PE vs Historical
19.1 vs 14.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.36
(+11%)
2-Year Target
$19.22
(+23%)
3-Year Target
$21.27
(+36%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19â14)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.72
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 137.6%)
$55.68
(+255%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.1, Growth: 137.6%)
$52.92
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.1, Growth: 137.6%)
$39.12
(+150%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 5:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:28 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DNOW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced DNOW Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DNOW price and gamma walls.
