DNOW (DNOW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DNOW - DNOW Inc.

OIL & GAS FIELD MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT
$15.76
0.48 (3.14%) ▲
5d: -1.07%
30d: -0.25%
90d: +23.03%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your DNOW Gains
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 25, 2026 at $15.93 · last confirmed Oct 1, 2026

Strength: 4.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DNOW trades at premium valuation expecting 9.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.75
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.75
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.8x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DNOW is currently trading at $15.76, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.56 to $16.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.1) compared to its historical average (14.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DNOW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $16.21. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.75 (+19.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $15.56 - $16.06
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 73.8%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($18.75)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 9.0% growth which is achievable
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (54/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $15.56 - $16.06
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $14.96
Resistance Level $16.22
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.13
Wall Street Target $18.75 (+19.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 108.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 90.5%
Profit Margin -4.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +9.0% premium
PE vs Historical 19.1 vs 14.8 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +9.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $17.18 (+9%)
2-Year Target $18.72 (+19%)
3-Year Target $20.41 (+30%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→15) PE COMPRESSION $15.79 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 138.2%) $56.73 (+260%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.1, Growth: 138.2%) $53.19 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 14.8, Growth: 138.2%) $41.16 (+161%)
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Last updated: October 03, 2026 7:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced DNOW Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DNOW price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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