DNOW (DNOW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DNOW - DNOW Inc.
$15.65
0.18 (1.16%)
â˛
5d:
-0.95%
30d:
-7.07%
90d:
+14.57%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: DNOW is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 9.6% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: DNOW is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 9.6% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.21
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.41
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DNOW is currently trading at $15.65, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.19 to $16.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.0) compared to its historical average (14.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DNOW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.75 (+19.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DNOW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.75 (+19.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$15.19 -
$16.47
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
69.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DNOW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($18.75)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 9.6% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.19 -
$16.47
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.29
Resistance Level
$16.55
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.04
Wall Street Target
$18.75
(+19.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
108.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
90.5%
Profit Margin
-4.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.6% premium
PE vs Historical
19.0 vs 14.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.15
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$18.80
(+20%)
3-Year Target
$20.60
(+32%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19â15)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.69
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 137.6%)
$55.96
(+258%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.0, Growth: 137.6%)
$52.82
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.5, Growth: 137.6%)
$40.23
(+157%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 5:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced DNOW Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DNOW price and gamma walls.
