DNOW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DNOW - DNOW Inc.
$13.05
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
+1.87%
30d:
-5.43%
90d:
+6.88%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DNOW trades at premium valuation expecting 4.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: DNOW trades at premium valuation expecting 4.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.08
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.71
4.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DNOW is currently trading at $13.05, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.91 to $13.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.4) compared to its historical average (13.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DNOW is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DNOW has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.25 (+24.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DNOW is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DNOW has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.25 (+24.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$12.91 -
$13.67
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.5% below Wall St target ($16.25)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 4.8% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.91 -
$13.67
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.72
Resistance Level
$13.84
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.43
Wall Street Target
$16.25
(+24.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
97.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
90.5%
Profit Margin
-4.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.8% premium
PE vs Historical
15.4 vs 13.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.68
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$14.33
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$15.02
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.05
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 166.0%)
$62.19
(+377%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 166.0%)
$44.04
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: 166.0%)
$37.44
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 11:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DNOW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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