DNOW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DNOW - DNOW Inc.
$14.24
0.12 (0.85%)
▲
5d:
+0.35%
30d:
+13.02%
90d:
+6.19%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
2d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DNOW trades at premium valuation expecting 6.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: DNOW trades at premium valuation expecting 6.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.57
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.01
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DNOW is currently trading at $14.24, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.93 to $14.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.7) compared to its historical average (13.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DNOW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.25 (+15.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DNOW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.25 (+15.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$12.93 -
$14.03
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DNOW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($16.25)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.9% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.93 -
$14.03
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.23
Resistance Level
$14.56
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.69
Wall Street Target
$16.25
(+15.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
97.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
90.5%
Profit Margin
-4.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.9% premium
PE vs Historical
16.7 vs 13.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.09
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$16.14
(+14%)
3-Year Target
$17.25
(+22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.16
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 166.0%)
$59.19
(+319%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.7, Growth: 166.0%)
$47.65
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.7, Growth: 166.0%)
$39.12
(+177%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 4:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DNOW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced DNOW Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DNOW price and gamma walls.
