DRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DRI - Darden Restaurants, Inc.
$212.00
-1.45 (-0.68%)
▼
5d:
+0.25%
30d:
+7.47%
90d:
+4.41%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 25, 2026
1d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DRI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DRI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$264.47
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$164.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DRI is currently trading at $212.00, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $196.04 to $208.69. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.6) is in line with its historical norms (17.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DRI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $210.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DRI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DRI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $210.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DRI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$196.04 -
$208.69
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($226.23)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.8% growth with 5.9% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$196.04 -
$208.69
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$191.73
Resistance Level
$210.43
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.63
Wall Street Target
$226.23
(+6.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.3%
Profit Margin
8.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
18.6 vs 17.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$215.82
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$219.70
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$223.66
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$212.53
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.2%)
$304.96
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.6, Growth: 7.2%)
$260.80
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.8, Growth: 7.2%)
$221.68
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.50
Bull Case
$281.30
(+33%)
Analyst growth 19.8%, PE expands to 24.7
Base Case
$255.73
(+21%)
Market implied 19.8%, PE stable at 22.5
Bear Case
$145.15
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 8:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Douglas J Milanes
SELL
3620 shares
2026-04-17
Lindsay L Koren
SELL
300 shares
2026-04-07
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
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Advanced DRI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DRI price and gamma walls.
