Darden Restaurants (DRI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DRI - Darden Restaurants, Inc.
$209.89
2.36 (1.14%)
▲
5d:
-3.74%
30d:
-7.81%
90d:
-0.45%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 24, 2026
11d
Get Alerted When DRI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DRI is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: DRI is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$267.48
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$166.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DRI is currently trading at $209.89, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $211.00 to $222.81. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.4) is in line with its historical norms (17.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DRI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $206.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DRI scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $231.04 (+10.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DRI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $206.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DRI scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $231.04 (+10.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$211.00 -
$222.81
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
64.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DRI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($231.04)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$211.00 -
$222.81
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$9.02
(4.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$206.83
Resistance Level
$223.17
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.44
Wall Street Target
$231.04
(+10.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
36.0%
Profit Margin
9.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
18.4 vs 17.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$211.99
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$214.11
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$216.25
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$209.92
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 7.2%)
$282.70
(+35%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.4, Growth: 7.2%)
$258.44
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.7, Growth: 7.2%)
$219.68
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.45
Bull Case
$248.66
(+19%)
Analyst growth 8.9%, PE expands to 21.9
Base Case
$226.05
(+8%)
Market implied 8.9%, PE stable at 19.9
Bear Case
$141.12
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 4:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:48 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is DRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Douglas J Milanes
SELL
3620 shares
2026-04-17
Lindsay L Koren
SELL
300 shares
2026-04-07
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Top Rated Restaurants Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Restaurants by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
WING
Wingstop Inc |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$203 | 51 HOLD |
|
YUMC
Yum China Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$62 | 54 HOLD |
|
BROS
Dutch Bros Inc |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$78 | 43 HOLD |
|
CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill I… |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$44 | 37 SELL |
|
QSR
Restaurant Brands Intern… |
BUY
31 analysts |
$86 | 38 SELL |
Advanced DRI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DRI price and gamma walls.
