DRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DRI - Darden Restaurants, Inc.
$203.58
-3.39 (-1.64%)
▼
5d:
+3.7%
30d:
+0.81%
90d:
+1.51%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 17, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.6/10
Get Alerted When DRI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DRI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DRI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$264.49
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$164.23
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DRI is currently trading at $203.58, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $196.86 to $209.36. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.9) is in line with its historical norms (17.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DRI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $190.98, while resistance sits at $212.99.
Market Sentiment: DRI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $228.54 (+12.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DRI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $190.98, while resistance sits at $212.99.
Market Sentiment: DRI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $228.54 (+12.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$196.86 -
$209.36
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($228.54)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$196.86 -
$209.36
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$190.98
Resistance Level
$212.99
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.89
Wall Street Target
$228.54
(+12.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
36.0%
Profit Margin
9.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
17.9 vs 17.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$204.19
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$204.80
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$205.42
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$203.29
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 7.2%)
$290.55
(+43%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.9, Growth: 7.2%)
$250.67
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.2, Growth: 7.2%)
$213.07
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.44
Bull Case
$248.22
(+22%)
Analyst growth 9.0%, PE expands to 21.8
Base Case
$225.66
(+11%)
Market implied 9.0%, PE stable at 19.8
Bear Case
$140.74
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 11:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:50 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is DRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Douglas J Milanes
SELL
3620 shares
2026-04-17
Lindsay L Koren
SELL
300 shares
2026-04-07
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Top Rated Restaurants Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Restaurants by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
WING
Wingstop Inc |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$209 | 45 HOLD |
|
CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill I… |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$44 | 50 HOLD |
|
BROS
Dutch Bros Inc |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$80 | 54 HOLD |
|
QSR
Restaurant Brands Intern… |
BUY
31 analysts |
$85 | 48 HOLD |
|
DPZ
Domino's Pizza Inc Commo… |
BUY
31 analysts |
$387 | 48 HOLD |
Advanced DRI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DRI price and gamma walls.
