Eastman Chemical (EMN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

EMN - Eastman Chemical Company

PLASTIC MATERIALS, SYNTH RESINS & NONVULCAN ELASTOMERS
$68.11
-0.27 (-0.39%) ▼
5d: -3.76%
30d: -6.11%
90d: -7.11%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $71.19 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 8.4/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EMN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$99.44
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$61.75
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: EMN is currently trading at $68.11, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $70.58 to $74.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.8) is in line with its historical norms (10.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 32.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, EMN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $67.47. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: EMN scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $81.60 (+19.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $70.58 - $74.26
Company Quality Score 35/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 54.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($81.60)
  • WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $70.58 - $74.26
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $67.47
Resistance Level $74.10
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.83
Wall Street Target $81.60 (+19.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 32.5%
Profit Margin 5.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 9.8 vs 10.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $66.54 (-2%)
2-Year Target $65.01 (-5%)
3-Year Target $63.52 (-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→11) $68.52 (+1%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 8.5%) $178.60 (+162%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.8, Growth: 8.5%) $87.00 (+28%)
Bear: (PE: 8.4, Growth: 8.5%) $73.95 (+9%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.84
Bull Case $135.78 (+99%)
Analyst growth 80.5%, PE expands to 19.6
Base Case $123.44 (+81%)
Market implied 80.5%, PE stable at 17.8
Bear Case $46.50 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.8 to 10.6
Stabilization Target: $73.48 (+7.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +7.9%
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Last updated: September 11, 2026 8:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:30 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced EMN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EMN price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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