Ero Copper (ERO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ERO - Ero Copper Corp.
$35.75
-0.94 (-2.56%)
âŧ
5d:
-3.66%
30d:
+2.67%
90d:
+36.4%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ERO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ERO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.57
Based on 10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.26
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ERO is currently trading at $35.75, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.19 to $38.44. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.3) is in line with its historical norms (6.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ERO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $33.17, while resistance sits at $38.70.
Market Sentiment: ERO scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.73 (+13.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ERO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $33.17, while resistance sits at $38.70.
Market Sentiment: ERO scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.73 (+13.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$34.19 -
$38.44
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ERO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($40.73)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.19 -
$38.44
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.17
Resistance Level
$38.70
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.33
Wall Street Target
$40.73
(+13.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
73.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.0%
Profit Margin
29.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.2% premium
PE vs Historical
7.3 vs 6.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.89
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$38.07
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$39.29
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7â7)
PE COMPRESSION
$35.89
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 17.0%)
$159.17
(+345%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.3, Growth: 17.0%)
$57.23
(+60%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.2, Growth: 17.0%)
$48.65
(+36%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.95
Bull Case
$66.68
(+87%)
Analyst growth 65.2%, PE expands to 13.7
Base Case
$60.62
(+70%)
Market implied 65.2%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case
$24.95
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 2:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:18 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:18 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ERO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ERO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ERO price and gamma walls.
