Ero Copper (ERO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ERO - Ero Copper Corp.
$35.47
0.49 (1.40%)
â˛
5d:
+0.42%
30d:
-1.66%
90d:
+28.05%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $34.90 · last confirmed Sep 10, 2026
Strength: 8.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ERO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ERO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$51.58
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.03
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ERO is currently trading at $35.47, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.32 to $38.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 7.6) compared to its historical average (6.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ERO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $34.19, while resistance sits at $40.43.
Market Sentiment: ERO scores 17/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.07 (+13.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ERO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $34.19, while resistance sits at $40.43.
Market Sentiment: ERO scores 17/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.07 (+13.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$32.32 -
$38.54
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ERO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (17/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($40.07)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.32 -
$38.54
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.19
Resistance Level
$40.43
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.56
Wall Street Target
$40.07
(+13.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
73.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.0%
Profit Margin
29.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.5% premium
PE vs Historical
7.6 vs 6.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.07
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$38.73
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$40.48
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8â7)
PE COMPRESSION
$35.34
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 17.7%)
$154.36
(+335%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.6, Growth: 17.7%)
$57.85
(+63%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.4, Growth: 17.7%)
$49.17
(+39%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.70
Bull Case
$66.87
(+89%)
Analyst growth 73.8%, PE expands to 14.3
Base Case
$60.79
(+71%)
Market implied 73.8%, PE stable at 13.0
Bear Case
$23.79
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 11:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ERO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ERO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ERO price and gamma walls.
