Hudbay Minerals (HBM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HBM - Hudbay Minerals Inc.
$27.20
1.02 (3.88%)
▲
5d:
+2.12%
30d:
-0.46%
90d:
+16.52%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HBM is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: HBM is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.55
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.39
13.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HBM is currently trading at $27.20, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.01 to $28.93. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.2) is in line with its historical norms (13.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HBM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $25.25, while resistance sits at $28.26. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.94 (+33.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HBM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $25.25, while resistance sits at $28.26. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.94 (+33.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$26.01 -
$28.93
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HBM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 33.4% below Wall St target ($34.94)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (54/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.01 -
$28.93
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.25
Resistance Level
$28.26
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.21
Wall Street Target
$34.94
(+33.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.1%
Profit Margin
27.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 13.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.26
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$26.34
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$26.42
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.19
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 36.6%)
$103.14
(+294%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 36.6%)
$66.80
(+155%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: 36.6%)
$56.78
(+117%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.63
Bull Case
$35.67
(+36%)
Analyst growth 21.6%, PE expands to 18.0
Base Case
$32.43
(+24%)
Market implied 21.6%, PE stable at 16.4
Bear Case
$18.14
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 3:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HBM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HBM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HBM price and gamma walls.
