Hudbay Minerals (HBM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HBM - Hudbay Minerals Inc.
$26.52
-0.13 (-0.49%)
âŧ
5d:
-4.23%
30d:
-4.84%
90d:
-0.45%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $27.43 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 8.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: HBM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: HBM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.22
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.56
13.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HBM is currently trading at $26.52, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.06 to $29.33. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.7) is in line with its historical norms (13.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HBM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HBM scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.94 (+31.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HBM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HBM scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.94 (+31.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$26.06 -
$29.33
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HBM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.7% below Wall St target ($34.94)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.06 -
$29.33
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.11
Resistance Level
$30.57
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.74
Wall Street Target
$34.94
(+31.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.1%
Profit Margin
27.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
13.7 vs 13.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.97
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$27.43
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$27.90
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14â13)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.59
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 26.5%)
$78.77
(+197%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 26.5%)
$53.67
(+102%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.7, Growth: 26.5%)
$45.62
(+72%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.51
Bull Case
$37.46
(+41%)
Analyst growth 27.8%, PE expands to 19.4
Base Case
$34.05
(+28%)
Market implied 27.8%, PE stable at 17.7
Bear Case
$18.12
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 11:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HBM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HBM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HBM price and gamma walls.
