Hudbay Minerals (HBM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$21.94
-0.01 (-0.05%)
▼
5d:
-1.26%
30d:
-14.56%
90d:
-17.11%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
60/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$21.69 – $25.33
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.0x
CHEAP
vs 12.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$34.77
+58.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$19.99 / $23.52
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HBM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 9, 2026 at $23.02 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026
Strength: 4.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.01
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.05
29.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HBM is currently trading at $21.94, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.69 to $25.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.0) compared to its historical average (12.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 14.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HBM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $19.98, while resistance sits at $23.52.
Market Sentiment: HBM scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.77 (+58.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HBM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $19.98, while resistance sits at $23.52.
Market Sentiment: HBM scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.77 (+58.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$21.69 -
$25.33
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$21.69 -
$25.33
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$19.99
Resistance Level
$23.52
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (62/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 58.5% below Wall St target ($34.77)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 62/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.02
Wall Street Target
$34.77
(+58.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.1%
Profit Margin
27.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 12.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.80
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$19.72
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$18.69
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$21.88
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 33.1%)
$93.19
(+325%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: 33.1%)
$51.72
(+136%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 33.1%)
$43.96
(+100%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.71
Bull Case
$28.11
(+28%)
Analyst growth 16.4%, PE expands to 14.1
Base Case
$25.55
(+17%)
Market implied 16.4%, PE stable at 12.8
Bear Case
$14.93
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.0 to 12.9
Stabilization Target:
$25.68
(+17.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.0%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (HBM)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits messages indicate a bullish sentiment towards $HBM with no significant news articles available.
Key Retail Themes:
bullish sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 9:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HBM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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