HBM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HBM - Hudbay Minerals Inc.
$22.75
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
+1.79%
30d:
+0.71%
90d:
-1.56%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HBM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HBM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.71
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.76
18.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HBM is currently trading at $22.75, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.09 to $24.07. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.1) is in line with its historical norms (12.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 14.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HBM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $20.34, while resistance sits at $23.73.
Market Sentiment: HBM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.21 (+46.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HBM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $20.34, while resistance sits at $23.73.
Market Sentiment: HBM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.21 (+46.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$21.09 -
$24.07
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 46.0% below Wall St target ($33.21)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.09 -
$24.07
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.34
Resistance Level
$23.73
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.10
Wall Street Target
$33.21
(+46.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.1%
Profit Margin
27.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 12.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.30
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$21.85
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$21.41
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$22.83
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 22.4%)
$71.45
(+214%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 22.4%)
$41.71
(+83%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 22.4%)
$35.45
(+56%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.67
Bull Case
$28.17
(+24%)
Analyst growth 12.6%, PE expands to 15.0
Base Case
$25.61
(+13%)
Market implied 12.6%, PE stable at 13.6
Bear Case
$15.47
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.1 to 12.9
Stabilization Target:
$24.25
(+6.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 7:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HBM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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