HBM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HBM - Hudbay Minerals Inc.
$20.87
-0.77 (-3.56%)
▼
5d:
-10.58%
30d:
-15.44%
90d:
-14.22%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
15d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
Get Alerted When HBM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
1 traders called HBM this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HBM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HBM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.88
Based on 13.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.01
19.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HBM is currently trading at $20.87, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.08 to $27.55. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.9) is in line with its historical norms (12.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 91.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HBM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: HBM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.93 (+57.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HBM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: HBM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.93 (+57.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$22.08 -
$27.55
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HBM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 57.8% below Wall St target ($32.93)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-10.6%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.08 -
$27.55
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.13
Resistance Level
$32.15
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.93
Wall Street Target
$32.93
(+57.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
91.9%
Profit Margin
27.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 12.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.33
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$19.80
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$19.28
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$20.86
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 22.7%)
$70.34
(+237%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 22.7%)
$38.52
(+85%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 22.7%)
$32.74
(+57%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.67
Bull Case
$24.52
(+13%)
Analyst growth 3.3%, PE expands to 14.2
Base Case
$22.29
(+3%)
Market implied 3.3%, PE stable at 12.9
Bear Case
$14.67
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.9 to 12.9
Stabilization Target:
$22.58
(+8.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is HBM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Copper Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Copper by analyst ratings.
Advanced HBM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HBM price and gamma walls.
