FCX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FCX - Freeport-McMoran Inc.
$60.53
3.03 (5.27%)
▲
5d:
+0.0%
30d:
-5.29%
90d:
-7.02%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
11d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.0/10
Get Alerted When FCX Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FCX appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.5% annual earnings decline despite 153% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FCX appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.5% annual earnings decline despite 153% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$139.81
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$86.81
30.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FCX is currently trading at $60.53, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.86 to $68.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.4) compared to its historical average (18.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 153.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $61.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.54 (+16.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $61.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.54 (+16.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$60.86 -
$68.81
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($70.54)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$60.86 -
$68.81
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$61.85
Resistance Level
$72.09
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.43
Wall Street Target
$70.54
(+16.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
153.1%
Profit Margin
10.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.4 vs 18.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$57.20
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$54.05
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$51.08
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→18)
$60.59
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 42.9%)
$249.29
(+312%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 42.9%)
$176.60
(+192%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: 42.9%)
$150.11
(+148%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.83
Bull Case
$126.50
(+109%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 34.6
Base Case
$115.00
(+90%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 31.4
Bear Case
$39.10
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.4 to 18.3
Stabilization Target:
$71.79
(+18.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 10, 2026 9:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:40 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is FCX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Stephen T Higgins
SELL
29654 shares
2026-02-20
Ellie L Mikes
SELL
11000 shares
2026-02-18
Maree E Robertson
SELL
48500 shares
2026-02-13
Top Rated Copper Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Copper by analyst ratings.
Advanced FCX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FCX price and gamma walls.
