Freeport-McMoran (FCX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$62.12
+1.81 (+3.00%)
▲
5d:
-0.77%
30d:
-14.22%
90d:
-7.05%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (95%)
Quality Score
55/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$62.22 – $71.34
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
14.6x
CHEAP
vs 17.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$78.09
+25.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$56.75 / $66.66
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FCX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
FCX is flagged by 1 backtest-validated scanner today
SPY Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 0.37% over the next 20 trading days; FCX has been on it 3 days). Backtested on 8 months of scanner history vs the S&P 500, as of 2026-11-11.
See all of today's Best Signals in the free scanner →Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 30, 2026 at $62.47 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026
Strength: 7.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$146.30
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$90.84
31.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FCX is currently trading at $62.12, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.22 to $71.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.6) compared to its historical average (17.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 76.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $56.75, while resistance sits at $66.66. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: FCX scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $78.09 (+25.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $56.75, while resistance sits at $66.66. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: FCX scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $78.09 (+25.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$62.22 -
$71.34
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
95.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$62.22 -
$71.34
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$56.75
Resistance Level
$66.66
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 25.7% below Wall St target ($78.09)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 68/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.55
Wall Street Target
$78.09
(+25.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
76.1%
Profit Margin
13.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.6 vs 17.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.33
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$54.77
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$51.43
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→18)
$62.20
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 37.4%)
$219.75
(+254%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: 37.4%)
$161.02
(+159%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: 37.4%)
$136.87
(+120%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.38
Bull Case
$122.97
(+104%)
Analyst growth 79.4%, PE expands to 28.8
Base Case
$111.79
(+85%)
Market implied 79.4%, PE stable at 26.2
Bear Case
$42.38
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.6 to 17.6
Stabilization Target:
$75.13
(+20.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.9%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (FCX)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 6, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Liz Ann Sonders suggests rotation as the new momentum trade, with Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) being one of the stocks to potentially benefit from this trend.
Key Retail Themes:
rotation as the new momentum trade
FCX as a potential beneficiary
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 5:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FCX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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