Freeport-McMoran (FCX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FCX - Freeport-McMoran Inc.
$71.07
-0.14 (-0.20%)
âŧ
5d:
-2.05%
30d:
+2.67%
90d:
+7.13%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $72.73 · last confirmed Sep 11, 2026
Strength: 6.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: FCX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: FCX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$144.15
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$89.51
20.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FCX is currently trading at $71.07, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $67.62 to $76.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.2) is in line with its historical norms (17.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 28.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $68.85, while resistance sits at $78.73.
Market Sentiment: FCX scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $68.85, while resistance sits at $78.73.
Market Sentiment: FCX scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$67.62 -
$76.23
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
45.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FCX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($72.05)
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$67.62 -
$76.23
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$68.85
Resistance Level
$78.73
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.19
Wall Street Target
$72.05
(+1.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.1%
Profit Margin
11.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.2 vs 17.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.15
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$69.23
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$68.33
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17â18)
$71.17
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 36.9%)
$213.87
(+201%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.2, Growth: 36.9%)
$182.23
(+156%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.6, Growth: 36.9%)
$154.89
(+118%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.04
Bull Case
$156.66
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 38.4
Base Case
$142.42
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.9
Bear Case
$48.42
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.2 to 17.9
Stabilization Target:
$74.02
(+4.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FCX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced FCX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FCX price and gamma walls.
