FCX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FCX - Freeport-McMoran Inc.
$59.97
-1.55 (-2.52%)
▼
5d:
-1.69%
30d:
-3.4%
90d:
-11.55%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
9d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FCX appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.9% annual earnings decline despite 153% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FCX appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.9% annual earnings decline despite 153% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$139.81
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$86.81
30.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FCX is currently trading at $59.97, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.23 to $67.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.7) compared to its historical average (18.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 153.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $61.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.54 (+14.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $61.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.54 (+14.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$60.23 -
$67.65
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($70.54)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$60.23 -
$67.65
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$61.85
Resistance Level
$72.09
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.68
Wall Street Target
$70.54
(+14.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
153.1%
Profit Margin
10.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.7 vs 18.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.51
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$55.64
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$52.91
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→18)
$61.75
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 42.9%)
$249.29
(+305%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.7, Growth: 42.9%)
$179.49
(+192%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.3, Growth: 42.9%)
$152.57
(+148%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.99
Bull Case
$131.26
(+113%)
Analyst growth 97.1%, PE expands to 33.5
Base Case
$119.33
(+94%)
Market implied 97.1%, PE stable at 30.4
Bear Case
$41.16
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.7 to 18.3
Stabilization Target:
$71.79
(+16.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 4:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FCX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Stephen T Higgins
SELL
29654 shares
2026-02-20
Ellie L Mikes
SELL
11000 shares
2026-02-18
Maree E Robertson
SELL
48500 shares
2026-02-13
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