First Advantage (FA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FA - First Advantage Corporation Common Stock
$18.52
0.18 (0.98%)
▲
5d:
-5.51%
30d:
-7.72%
90d:
-8.09%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FA is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: FA is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.03
Based on 11.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.03
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FA is currently trading at $18.52, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.18 to $21.41. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.2) is in line with its historical norms (11.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $17.34, while resistance sits at $21.21.
Market Sentiment: FA scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.25 (+43.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $17.34, while resistance sits at $21.21.
Market Sentiment: FA scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.25 (+43.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$19.18 -
$21.41
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
91.4%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.1% below Wall St target ($26.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 25% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.5%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.18 -
$21.41
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.34
Resistance Level
$21.21
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.18
Wall Street Target
$26.25
(+43.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5498.7%
Profit Margin
1.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 11.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.71
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$19.08
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$19.46
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$18.38
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 18.0%)
$50.52
(+175%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 18.0%)
$30.16
(+65%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 18.0%)
$25.64
(+40%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 12.90 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.42
Bull Case
$22.15
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 13.6
Base Case
$18.34
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 12.9
Bear Case
$14.03
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 11.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 2:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:36 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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