First Advantage (FA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FA - First Advantage Corporation Common Stock
$21.05
1.39 (7.04%)
▲
5d:
+4.81%
30d:
+5.23%
90d:
+7.15%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
13d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.03
Based on 11.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.03
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FA is currently trading at $21.05, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.36 to $20.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.1) compared to its historical average (11.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FA is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.18. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: FA scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.00 (+32.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FA is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.18. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: FA scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.00 (+32.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$18.36 -
$20.72
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
34.3%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 32.2% below Wall St target ($26.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.36 -
$20.72
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.66
Resistance Level
$21.18
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.06
Wall Street Target
$26.00
(+32.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5498.7%
Profit Margin
1.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.2% premium
PE vs Historical
13.1 vs 11.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.49
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$21.35
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$22.24
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$19.59
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 18.0%)
$49.18
(+150%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.1, Growth: 18.0%)
$32.33
(+65%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: 18.0%)
$27.48
(+40%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 12.90 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.52
Bull Case
$23.74
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 13.6
Base Case
$19.66
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 12.9
Bear Case
$15.04
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 11.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 3:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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