JBHT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JBHT - JB Hunt Transport Services Inc
$269.24
-4.24 (-1.55%)
▼
5d:
-4.92%
30d:
+3.86%
90d:
+32.77%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 21, 2026
27d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JBHT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JBHT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$444.11
Based on 14.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$275.76
2.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JBHT is currently trading at $269.24, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $254.63 to $285.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 29.3) compared to its historical average (26.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBHT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $266.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBHT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $266.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$254.63 -
$285.12
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($251.45)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$254.63 -
$285.12
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$266.43
Resistance Level
$293.54
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.33
Wall Street Target
$251.45
(-6.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.4%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
29.3 vs 26.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$278.66
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$288.42
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$298.51
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→27)
PE COMPRESSION
$269.71
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.3, Growth: 24.7%)
$521.79
(+94%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 24.7%)
$387.48
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 24.7%)
$329.35
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.43
Bull Case
$429.48
(+60%)
Analyst growth 42.8%, PE expands to 46.8
Base Case
$390.43
(+45%)
Market implied 42.8%, PE stable at 42.5
Bear Case
$185.97
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JBHT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Nicholas Hobbs
SELL
1272 shares
2026-04-22
James K Thompson
SELL
1000 shares
2026-04-21
Jennifer Boattini
SELL
2238 shares
2026-02-27
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