JB Hunt Transport Services (JBHT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JBHT - JB Hunt Transport Services Inc
$224.09
-6.50 (-2.82%)
▼
5d:
-2.05%
30d:
-2.21%
90d:
-20.24%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 15, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 16, 2026 at $228.78 · last confirmed Oct 20, 2026
Strength: 4.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: JBHT trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: JBHT trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
JBHT is flagged by 1 backtest-validated scanner today
SPY Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 0.37% over the next 20 trading days; JBHT has been on it 2 days). Backtested on 8 months of scanner history vs the S&P 500, as of 2026-10-22.
See all of today's Best Signals in the free scanner →Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$478.77
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$297.28
24.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JBHT is currently trading at $224.09, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $220.92 to $244.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.4) compared to its historical average (26.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBHT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $222.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: JBHT scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $279.52 (+21.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBHT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $222.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: JBHT scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $279.52 (+21.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$220.92 -
$244.54
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
92.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (72/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.2% below Wall St target ($279.52)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 72/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$220.92 -
$244.54
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$9.69
(4.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$222.01
Resistance Level
$235.97
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.45
Wall Street Target
$279.52
(+21.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.4%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.5 vs 26.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$221.60
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$212.95
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$204.65
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→26)
$230.42
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.4, Growth: 35.8%)
$577.07
(+150%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 35.8%)
$488.77
(+112%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 35.8%)
$415.46
(+80%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.15
Bull Case
$345.85
(+50%)
Analyst growth 37.5%, PE expands to 35.2
Base Case
$314.41
(+36%)
Market implied 37.5%, PE stable at 32.0
Bear Case
$155.44
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.4 to 26.4
Stabilization Target:
$259.63
(+12.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 10:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:49 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JBHT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced JBHT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's JBHT price and gamma walls.
