FLYW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FLYW - Flywire Corporation Voting Common Stock
$19.54
0.79 (4.21%)
▲
5d:
+3.88%
30d:
+21.18%
90d:
+20.92%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 19, 2026 at $18.83 · last confirmed Aug 19, 2026
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FLYW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FLYW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.06
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.15
7.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FLYW is currently trading at $19.54, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.60 to $18.60. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.5) compared to its historical average (13.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FLYW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $19.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: FLYW scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FLYW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $19.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: FLYW scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$16.60 -
$18.60
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FLYW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.1% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.2%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($20.69)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.7% growth with 27.2% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.60 -
$18.60
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.07
Resistance Level
$19.59
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.52
Wall Street Target
$20.69
(+5.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-23.3%
Profit Margin
4.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.7% premium
PE vs Historical
14.5 vs 13.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.26
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$21.01
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$21.79
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$19.51
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 27.8%)
$56.35
(+188%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.5, Growth: 27.8%)
$40.77
(+109%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.3, Growth: 27.8%)
$34.66
(+77%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 29.67 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.66
Bull Case
$23.59
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 31.2
Base Case
$19.54
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 29.7
Bear Case
$14.95
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 26.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 10:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FLYW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Peter Butterfield
SELL
9009 shares
2026-03-05
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Advanced FLYW Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FLYW price and gamma walls.
