FLYW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FLYW - Flywire Corporation Voting Common Stock
$15.46
0.03 (0.16%)
▲
5d:
+0.95%
30d:
-4.36%
90d:
+23.54%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FLYW shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FLYW shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.72
Based on 13.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.45
16.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FLYW is currently trading at $15.46, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.74 to $16.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.3) is in line with its historical norms (12.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FLYW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.74, while resistance sits at $17.02.
Market Sentiment: FLYW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.00 (+23.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FLYW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.74, while resistance sits at $17.02.
Market Sentiment: FLYW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.00 (+23.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$14.74 -
$16.31
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.1% below Wall St target ($19.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.74 -
$16.31
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.74
Resistance Level
$17.03
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.30
Wall Street Target
$19.00
(+23.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
41.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-23.3%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.3 vs 12.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.23
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$15.03
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$14.84
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$15.43
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 22.6%)
$50.38
(+227%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.3, Growth: 22.6%)
$28.46
(+85%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 22.6%)
$24.19
(+57%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 22.17 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.70
Bull Case
$18.63
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 23.3
Base Case
$15.43
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 22.2
Bear Case
$11.80
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 20.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.3 to 12.8
Stabilization Target:
$16.05
(+4.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 3:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FLYW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
3
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Peter Butterfield
SELL
9009 shares
2026-03-05
Voss Capital, Lp
BUY
25000 shares
2026-02-13
Peter Butterfield
SELL
13327 shares
2026-01-07
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