FLYW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FLYW - Flywire Corporation Voting Common Stock
$16.01
-0.26 (-1.60%)
▼
5d:
+0.76%
30d:
-13.74%
90d:
+18.5%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FLYW shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FLYW shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.86
Based on 13.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.54
13.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FLYW is currently trading at $16.01, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.28 to $18.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.8) is in line with its historical norms (13.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FLYW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.31 (+20.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FLYW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.31 (+20.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$16.28 -
$18.29
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.6% below Wall St target ($19.31)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.28 -
$18.29
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.60
Resistance Level
$18.58
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.77
Wall Street Target
$19.31
(+20.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
41.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-23.3%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.8 vs 13.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.93
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$15.85
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$15.77
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
$16.06
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 22.1%)
$47.37
(+196%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.8, Growth: 22.1%)
$29.17
(+82%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: 22.1%)
$24.80
(+55%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 23.81 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.67
Bull Case
$19.33
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 25.0
Base Case
$16.01
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 23.8
Bear Case
$12.25
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 21.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.8 to 13.0
Stabilization Target:
$16.30
(+1.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 8:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FLYW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Peter Butterfield
SELL
9009 shares
2026-03-05
Voss Capital, Lp
BUY
25000 shares
2026-02-13
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