FMNB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FMNB - Farmers National Banc Corp
$14.43
0.18 (1.23%)
▲
5d:
+0.66%
30d:
+1.3%
90d:
+12.34%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FMNB is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: FMNB is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.79
Based on 6.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.05
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FMNB is currently trading at $14.43, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.97 to $14.41. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.1) is in line with its historical norms (7.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FMNB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.53. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+12.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FMNB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.53. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+12.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$13.97 -
$14.41
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($16.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.97 -
$14.41
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.81
Resistance Level
$14.53
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.14
Wall Street Target
$16.00
(+12.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.7%
Profit Margin
29.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
8.1 vs 7.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.56
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$14.88
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$15.21
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.20
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.0%)
$48.05
(+237%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.1, Growth: 8.0%)
$17.96
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.9, Growth: 8.0%)
$15.27
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.45
Bull Case
$18.77
(+32%)
Analyst growth 20.7%, PE expands to 10.7
Base Case
$17.07
(+20%)
Market implied 20.7%, PE stable at 9.8
Bear Case
$9.62
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 3:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FMNB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Gina A Richardson
BUY
441 shares
2026-03-19
Gina A Richardson
BUY
1231 shares
2026-03-05
Edward Muransky
BUY
40000 shares
2026-03-03
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