FMNB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FMNB - Farmers National Banc Corp
$14.40
0.09 (0.63%)
▲
5d:
+0.35%
30d:
-0.96%
90d:
+3.67%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FMNB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FMNB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.02
Based on 6.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.19
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FMNB is currently trading at $14.40, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.19 to $14.60. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.2) is in line with its historical norms (7.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FMNB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.53. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+11.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FMNB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.53. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+11.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$14.19 -
$14.60
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($16.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.19 -
$14.60
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.81
Resistance Level
$14.53
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.23
Wall Street Target
$16.00
(+11.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.7%
Profit Margin
29.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
8.2 vs 7.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.73
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$15.07
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$15.42
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.43
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.0%)
$48.05
(+234%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: 8.0%)
$18.15
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: 8.0%)
$15.43
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.45
Bull Case
$18.94
(+32%)
Analyst growth 20.7%, PE expands to 10.8
Base Case
$17.22
(+20%)
Market implied 20.7%, PE stable at 9.8
Bear Case
$9.70
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FMNB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Gina A Richardson
BUY
441 shares
2026-03-19
Gina A Richardson
BUY
1231 shares
2026-03-05
Edward Muransky
BUY
40000 shares
2026-03-03
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