FR First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc. REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS Best REITs Stocks 2026 →

FR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$55.26
+0.30 (+0.55%) ▲
5d: -0.45% 30d: -7.68% 90d: -12.74%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (88%)
Quality Score
65/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$54.58 – $59.01
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
30.5x FAIR
vs 32.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$64.38
+16.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$53.27 / $56.00
Trend: Strong Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.92
Based on -12.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.23
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FR is currently trading at $55.26, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.58 to $59.01. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 30.5) is in line with its historical norms (32.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $56.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: FR scores 81/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.38 (+16.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $54.58 - $59.01
Company Quality Score 65/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 88.1%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $54.58 - $59.01
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level $53.27
Resistance Level $56.00
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (81/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($64.38)
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 81/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 30.50
Wall Street Target $64.38 (+16.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -10.2%
Profit Margin 46.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 30.5 vs 32.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $53.88 (-3%)
2-Year Target $52.53 (-5%)
3-Year Target $51.22 (-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 31→33) $55.25 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 30.5, Growth: -28.0%) $40.28 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -28.0%) $26.23 (-53%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: -28.0%) $22.30 (-60%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 20.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.70
Bull Case $40.57 (-27%)
Analyst growth -32.9%, PE expands to 22.4
Base Case $36.88 (-33%)
Market implied -32.9%, PE stable at 20.4
Bear Case $37.37 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 30.5 to 32.9
Stabilization Target: $59.61 (+7.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +7.9%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (FR)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 5, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Traders on StockTwits are bullish on $FR as it reaches a new 52-week high.
Key Retail Themes: Price action
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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