FR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FR - First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc.
$55.29
-4.11 (-6.92%)
▼
5d:
-5.94%
30d:
-9.46%
90d:
-17.47%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.35
Based on -11.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.50
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FR is currently trading at $55.29, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $58.47 to $61.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 30.3) is in line with its historical norms (33.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 39.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $55.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: FR scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $71.44 (+29.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $55.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: FR scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $71.44 (+29.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$58.47 -
$61.52
Company Quality Score
40/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 29.2% below Wall St target ($71.44)
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$58.47 -
$61.52
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$55.02
Resistance Level
$60.99
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.34
Wall Street Target
$71.44
(+29.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
39.3%
Profit Margin
47.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
30.3 vs 33.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$53.74
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$52.24
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$50.77
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→33)
$55.40
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 30.3, Growth: -27.6%)
$40.31
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -27.6%)
$26.39
(-52%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -27.6%)
$22.43
(-59%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 21.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.76
Bull Case
$43.15
(-22%)
Analyst growth -34.0%, PE expands to 23.7
Base Case
$39.22
(-29%)
Market implied -34.0%, PE stable at 21.5
Bear Case
$40.39
(-27%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 30.3 to 33.1
Stabilization Target:
$60.32
(+9.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 1:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:30 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:30 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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