FR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FR - First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc.
$60.40
0.35 (0.58%)
▲
5d:
-4.22%
30d:
-1.08%
90d:
-3.28%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 15, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.08
Based on -4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FR is currently trading at $60.40, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.99 to $62.88. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 32.5) is in line with its historical norms (32.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 199.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.00 (+10.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.00 (+10.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$60.99 -
$62.88
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($67.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$60.99 -
$62.88
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.11
Resistance Level
$64.63
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.47
Wall Street Target
$67.00
(+10.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
199.7%
Profit Margin
46.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
32.5 vs 32.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$60.22
(0%)
2-Year Target
$60.04
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$59.86
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→33)
$60.47
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.5, Growth: -13.5%)
$44.03
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: -13.5%)
$29.71
(-51%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: -13.5%)
$25.26
(-58%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 24.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.59
Bull Case
$49.82
(-20%)
Analyst growth -28.2%, PE expands to 26.8
Base Case
$45.29
(-28%)
Market implied -28.2%, PE stable at 24.4
Bear Case
$42.88
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 32.5 to 32.8
Stabilization Target:
$61.01
(+1.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Johannson L Yap
SELL
680 shares
2025-12-17
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