FRT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FRT - Federal Realty Investment Trust
$108.88
3.11 (2.94%)
▲
5d:
+3.03%
30d:
-0.47%
90d:
-13.64%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 30, 2026
6d
Get Alerted When FRT Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FRT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FRT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
FRT is flagged by 1 backtest-validated scanner today
SPY Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 0.37% over the next 20 trading days; FRT has been on it 4 days). Backtested on 8 months of scanner history vs the S&P 500, as of 2026-10-22.
See all of today's Best Signals in the free scanner →Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.43
Based on -4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FRT is currently trading at $108.88, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $105.56 to $111.07. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 33.8) is in line with its historical norms (35.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FRT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $108.96. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FRT scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (19th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $127.74 (+17.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FRT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $108.96. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FRT scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (19th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $127.74 (+17.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$105.56 -
$111.07
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
19th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 19th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (72/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($127.74)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 72/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$105.56 -
$111.07
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.73
(2.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$104.36
Resistance Level
$108.96
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.75
Wall Street Target
$127.74
(+17.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-45.6%
Profit Margin
32.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
33.8 vs 35.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$107.25
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$105.64
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$104.05
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 34→35)
$108.83
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.7, Growth: -13.0%)
$79.37
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -13.0%)
$46.71
(-57%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -13.0%)
$39.70
(-64%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 21.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.95
Bull Case
$75.83
(-30%)
Analyst growth -34.8%, PE expands to 23.5
Base Case
$68.93
(-37%)
Market implied -34.8%, PE stable at 21.4
Bear Case
$71.92
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 33.7 to 35.3
Stabilization Target:
$113.88
(+4.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 11:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:06 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is FRT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated REIT - Retail Stocks
Top-rated stocks in REIT - Retail by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
NTST
Netstreit Corp |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$23 | 70 BUY |
|
EPRT
Essential Properties Rea… |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$36 | 54 HOLD |
|
BRX
Brixmor Property |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$34 | 63 BUY |
|
MAC
Macerich Company |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$27 | 55 HOLD |
|
REG
Regency Centers Corporat… |
BUY
20 analysts |
$85 | 56 HOLD |
Advanced FRT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FRT price and gamma walls.
