FRT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$113.10
-0.67 (-0.59%)
▼
5d:
-1.33%
30d:
+6.95%
90d:
-4.87%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 30, 2026
0d
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Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (40%)
Quality Score
39/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$105.59 – $111.96
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
35.0x
FAIR
vs 35.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$126.16
+11.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
28th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$109.25 / $115.99
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FRT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.33
Based on -10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.77
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FRT is currently trading at $113.10, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $105.59 to $111.96. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 35.0) is in line with its historical norms (35.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FRT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $115.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FRT scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (28th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $126.16 (+11.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FRT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $115.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FRT scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (28th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $126.16 (+11.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$105.59 -
$111.96
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Options IV Signal
28th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
40.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$105.59 -
$111.96
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.37
(3.0%)
Support Level
$109.25
Resistance Level
$115.99
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding FRT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 28th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($126.16)
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
34.95
Wall Street Target
$126.16
(+11.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Profit Margin
32.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
35.0 vs 35.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$112.76
(0%)
2-Year Target
$112.42
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$112.09
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 35→35)
$113.20
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 35.0, Growth: -24.0%)
$82.45
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -24.0%)
$46.85
(-59%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -24.0%)
$39.82
(-65%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 22.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.00
Bull Case
$80.99
(-28%)
Analyst growth -35.3%, PE expands to 25.0
Base Case
$73.63
(-35%)
Market implied -35.3%, PE stable at 22.8
Bear Case
$77.36
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 35.0 to 35.3
Stabilization Target:
$114.22
(+1.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.0%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (FRT)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 30, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) reported strong Q3 earnings, beating estimates with $1.87 FFO per share, 4% same-store cash net operating income growth, and a raised full-year outlook.
Key Retail Themes:
Earnings Beat
Strong Occupancy and Leasing
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 5:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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