Genesco (GCO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GCO - Genesco Inc.
$36.99
-0.40 (-1.07%)
▼
5d:
-0.3%
30d:
+7.37%
90d:
-1.25%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Dec 03, 2026
Get Alerted When GCO Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GCO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GCO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.09
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.56
4.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GCO is currently trading at $36.99, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.09 to $36.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.1) compared to its historical average (16.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GCO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $35.12, while resistance sits at $38.19.
Market Sentiment: GCO scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GCO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $35.12, while resistance sits at $38.19.
Market Sentiment: GCO scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$34.09 -
$36.72
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($39.67)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.0% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.09 -
$36.72
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.12
Resistance Level
$38.19
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.14
Wall Street Target
$39.67
(+7.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
41.6%
Profit Margin
1.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.0% premium
PE vs Historical
19.1 vs 16.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.84
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$40.78
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$42.82
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$36.91
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 27.4%)
$79.39
(+115%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.1, Growth: 27.4%)
$76.51
(+107%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.3, Growth: 27.4%)
$65.04
(+76%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.98
Bull Case
$20.56
(-44%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 10.3
Base Case
$18.70
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 9.4
Bear Case
$25.43
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 24, 2026 9:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:52 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is GCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Apparel Retail Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Apparel Retail by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TJX
The TJX Companies Inc |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$171 | 42 HOLD |
|
BOOT
Boot Barn Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$211 | 53 HOLD |
|
ROST
Ross Stores Inc |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$269 | 52 HOLD |
|
BURL
Burlington Stores Inc |
BUY
19 analysts |
$365 | 52 HOLD |
|
LULU
Lululemon Athletica Inc. |
SELL
35 analysts |
$105 | 43 HOLD |
