GCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GCO - Genesco Inc.
$35.03
1.20 (3.56%)
▲
5d:
-2.41%
30d:
-5.39%
90d:
+32.12%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GCO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GCO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.95
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.99
2.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GCO is currently trading at $35.02, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.49 to $39.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.5) compared to its historical average (15.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GCO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $33.68, while resistance sits at $41.30. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.33 (+19.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GCO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $33.68, while resistance sits at $41.30. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.33 (+19.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$34.49 -
$39.86
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($40.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.49 -
$39.86
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.68
Resistance Level
$41.30
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.50
Wall Street Target
$40.33
(+19.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
41.6%
Profit Margin
0.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.4% premium
PE vs Historical
17.5 vs 15.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.31
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$36.86
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$38.48
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$33.86
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 27.4%)
$87.06
(+157%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.5, Growth: 27.4%)
$69.96
(+107%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.9, Growth: 27.4%)
$59.46
(+76%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.85
Bull Case
$41.12
(+22%)
Analyst growth 4.5%, PE expands to 21.3
Base Case
$37.39
(+11%)
Market implied 4.5%, PE stable at 19.4
Bear Case
$24.34
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 2:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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