GCO
Genesco Inc.
RETAIL-SHOE STORES
Genesco (GCO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$35.49
-0.29 (-0.81%)
▼
5d:
-1.61%
30d:
-5.16%
90d:
+2.45%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (56%)
Quality Score
42/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$35.98 – $37.53
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
18.4x
FAIR
vs 16.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$39.67
+11.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$34.94 / $39.95
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GCO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Get Alerted When GCO Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.85
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.02
9.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GCO is currently trading at $35.49, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.98 to $37.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.4) is in line with its historical norms (16.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GCO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.94. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GCO scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.67 (+11.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GCO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.94. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GCO scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.67 (+11.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$35.98 -
$37.53
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$35.98 -
$37.53
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$34.94
Resistance Level
$39.95
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 13, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($39.67)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.36
Wall Street Target
$39.67
(+11.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
41.6%
Profit Margin
1.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.2% premium
PE vs Historical
18.4 vs 16.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.63
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$37.80
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$39.01
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$35.47
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 27.4%)
$79.39
(+124%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.4, Growth: 27.4%)
$73.41
(+107%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.6, Growth: 27.4%)
$62.40
(+76%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.73
Bull Case
$20.39
(-43%)
Analyst growth -48.2%, PE expands to 10.6
Base Case
$18.54
(-48%)
Market implied -48.2%, PE stable at 9.6
Bear Case
$24.33
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share GCO Analysis
Share this live GCO analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (GCO)
Neutral
2 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Mar 6, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits sentiment is evenly split between bulls and bears for $GCO stock with no recent news articles available to provide additional context.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 6:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:43 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is GCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Apparel Retail Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Apparel Retail by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TJX
The TJX Companies Inc |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$171 | 61 BUY |
|
BURL
Burlington Stores Inc |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$364 | 63 BUY |
|
ROST
Ross Stores Inc |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$272 | 53 HOLD |
|
BOOT
Boot Barn Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$181 | 32 SELL |
|
LULU
Lululemon Athletica Inc. |
SELL
36 analysts |
$104 | 39 SELL |
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive GCO Research Pages
