Green Dot (GDOT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GDOT - Green Dot Corporation
$13.26
-0.01 (-0.08%)
▼
5d:
-0.3%
30d:
-1.41%
90d:
+2.16%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GDOT is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: GDOT is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.49
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.00
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GDOT is currently trading at $13.26, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.22 to $13.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.8) compared to its historical average (7.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GDOT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.12 (+21.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GDOT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.12 (+21.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$13.22 -
$13.47
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GDOT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (59/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.6% below Wall St target ($16.12)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (59/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.22 -
$13.47
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.08
(8.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.00
Resistance Level
$13.48
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.84
Wall Street Target
$16.13
(+21.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
97.9%
Profit Margin
-1.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.8% premium
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 7.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.76
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$14.29
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$14.83
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.25
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 4.2%)
$34.20
(+158%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: 4.2%)
$14.99
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: 4.2%)
$12.74
(-4%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 3:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:22 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GDOT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced GDOT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GDOT price and gamma walls.
