Green Dot (GDOT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$11.37
-1.22 (-9.69%)
▼
5d:
-8.67%
30d:
-8.75%
90d:
-15.46%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 09, 2026
0d
Protect GDOT Gains
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (75%)
Quality Score
43/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$12.09 – $12.58
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
7.6x
FAIR
vs 8.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$16.13
+41.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$10.92 / $12.89
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GDOT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.67
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.11
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GDOT is currently trading at $11.37, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.09 to $12.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.6) is in line with its historical norms (8.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 97.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GDOT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.92, while resistance sits at $12.89. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.12 (+41.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GDOT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.92, while resistance sits at $12.89. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.12 (+41.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$12.09 -
$12.58
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$12.09 -
$12.58
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$10.92
Resistance Level
$12.89
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding GDOT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-9.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 41.8% below Wall St target ($16.12)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.58
Wall Street Target
$16.13
(+41.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
97.9%
Profit Margin
-1.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.6 vs 8.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.18
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$10.99
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$10.80
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$11.40
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 4.2%)
$33.67
(+196%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.6, Growth: 4.2%)
$12.85
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.4, Growth: 4.2%)
$10.92
(-4%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.6 to 8.0
Stabilization Target:
$12.00
(+5.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.5%
Share GDOT Analysis
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (GDOT)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Aug 17, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits messages suggest a bullish outlook on $GDOT, as traders note similarities with $WW's post-earnings rally. No recent news articles were available.
Key Retail Themes:
positive sentiment towards $GDOT based on similarities with $WW's post-earnings rally
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GDOT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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