Gold Fields Ltd ADR (GFI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$35.76
-0.02 (-0.06%)
âŧ
5d:
-8.71%
30d:
-3.59%
90d:
-13.83%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (50%)
Quality Score
52/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$34.78 â $37.81
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
7.4x
CHEAP
vs 8.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$46.84
+31.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$34.27 / $41.54
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GFI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.1% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.63
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.13
10.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GFI is currently trading at $35.76, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.78 to $37.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.4) compared to its historical average (8.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 81.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $34.27, while resistance sits at $41.54.
Market Sentiment: GFI scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.84 (+31.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $34.27, while resistance sits at $41.54.
Market Sentiment: GFI scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.84 (+31.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$34.78 -
$37.81
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$34.78 -
$37.81
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$34.27
Resistance Level
$41.54
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 13, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (31/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.0% below Wall St target ($46.84)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.40
Wall Street Target
$46.84
(+31.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
78.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
81.4%
Profit Margin
38.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.4 vs 8.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.94
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$32.21
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$30.56
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7â9)
$35.91
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 14.1%)
$142.40
(+298%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.4, Growth: 14.1%)
$53.09
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.3, Growth: 14.1%)
$45.12
(+26%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.88
Bull Case
$38.75
(+8%)
Analyst growth -1.0%, PE expands to 8.0
Base Case
$35.22
(-2%)
Market implied -1.0%, PE stable at 7.3
Bear Case
$24.20
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.4 to 8.7
Stabilization Target:
$42.02
(+17.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.5%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (GFI)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Aug 20, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on GFI are bearish (sentiment score +0.00) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 14, 2026 1:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:13 AM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL
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