GFI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GFI - Gold Fields Ltd ADR
$33.61
-1.02 (-2.95%)
▼
5d:
-15.1%
30d:
-16.12%
90d:
-17.8%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GFI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GFI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.59
Based on 3.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.34
18.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GFI is currently trading at $33.61, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.04 to $40.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.1) compared to its historical average (9.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 196.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GFI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.53 (+66.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GFI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.53 (+66.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$36.04 -
$40.39
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 66.1% below Wall St target ($57.53)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-15.1%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.04 -
$40.39
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.37
Resistance Level
$40.87
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.13
Wall Street Target
$57.53
(+66.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
71.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
196.1%
Profit Margin
40.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.1 vs 9.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.17
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$28.05
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$25.25
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→10)
$40.77
(+18%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 3.1%)
$134.68
(+289%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.1, Growth: 3.1%)
$37.90
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.2, Growth: 3.1%)
$32.22
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.94
Bull Case
$60.88
(+76%)
Analyst growth 43.4%, PE expands to 10.8
Base Case
$55.35
(+60%)
Market implied 43.4%, PE stable at 9.8
Bear Case
$26.25
(-24%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.1 to 9.9
Stabilization Target:
$55.93
(+61.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+61.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GFI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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