GFI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GFI - Gold Fields Ltd ADR
$34.62
0.66 (1.94%)
▲
5d:
+6.03%
30d:
+0.03%
90d:
-17.16%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 21, 2026
16d
Get Alerted When GFI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GFI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 11.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GFI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 11.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.13
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.82
13.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GFI is currently trading at $34.62, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.32 to $34.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.3) compared to its historical average (9.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 196.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GFI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.34 (+42.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GFI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.34 (+42.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$32.32 -
$34.13
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 42.3% below Wall St target ($48.34)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.32 -
$34.13
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.30
Resistance Level
$33.97
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.33
Wall Street Target
$48.34
(+42.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
71.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
196.1%
Profit Margin
40.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.3 vs 9.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.56
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$27.51
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$24.76
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→9)
$35.61
(+5%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 7.2%)
$137.01
(+303%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.3, Growth: 7.2%)
$41.81
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.4, Growth: 7.2%)
$35.54
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.94
Bull Case
$48.59
(+43%)
Analyst growth 36.2%, PE expands to 9.1
Base Case
$44.17
(+30%)
Market implied 36.2%, PE stable at 8.2
Bear Case
$22.05
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.3 to 9.1
Stabilization Target:
$48.85
(+43.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+43.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 12:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:05 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is GFI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Gold Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Gold by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
NEM
Newmont Goldcorp Corp |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$129 | 52 HOLD |
|
AEM
Agnico Eagle Mines Limit… |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$215 | 57 HOLD |
|
KGC
Kinross Gold Corporation |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$36 | 57 HOLD |
|
B
Barrick Mining Corporati… |
BUY
22 analysts |
$53 | 59 HOLD |
|
WPM
Wheaton Precious Metals … |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$172 | 56 HOLD |
