Gold Fields Ltd ADR (GFI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GFI - Gold Fields Ltd ADR
$34.59
-0.55 (-1.57%)
▼
5d:
-8.01%
30d:
-13.31%
90d:
+5.1%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 21, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GFI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GFI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$65.42
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.62
14.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GFI is currently trading at $34.59, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.13 to $40.98. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.1) compared to its historical average (8.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 81.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.34 (+36.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.34 (+36.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$35.13 -
$40.98
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.9% below Wall St target ($47.34)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (48/100) — watch for confirmation
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-8.0%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$35.13 -
$40.98
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.17
Resistance Level
$38.15
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.11
Wall Street Target
$47.34
(+36.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
78.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
81.4%
Profit Margin
38.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.1 vs 8.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.27
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$30.11
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$28.09
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→9)
$34.39
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 14.3%)
$144.29
(+317%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.1, Growth: 14.3%)
$51.63
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.0, Growth: 14.3%)
$43.89
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (7x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.88
Bull Case
$38.55
(+12%)
Analyst growth -0.3%, PE expands to 7.9
Base Case
$35.05
(+1%)
Market implied -0.3%, PE stable at 7.2
Bear Case
$23.90
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.1 to 8.7
Stabilization Target:
$42.34
(+22.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 24, 2026 9:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GFI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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