GRAHAM (GHC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$1216.96
-5.28 (-0.43%)
âŧ
5d:
-2.0%
30d:
+3.66%
90d:
+3.64%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (39%)
Quality Score
50/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$1172.23 â $1220.86
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
18.0x
FAIR
vs 16.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$1100.00
-9.6% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$1143.01 / $1269.00
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GHC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1004.85
Based on -2.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$623.93
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GHC is currently trading at $1216.96, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1172.23 to $1220.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.0) is in line with its historical norms (16.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GHC is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $1143.01, while resistance sits at $1269.00.
Market Sentiment: GHC scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GHC is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $1143.01, while resistance sits at $1269.00.
Market Sentiment: GHC scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$1172.23 -
$1220.86
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
39.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$1172.23 -
$1220.86
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$1143.01
Resistance Level
$1269.00
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($1100.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.1% growth with 3.7% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.03
Wall Street Target
$1100.00
(-9.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-36.9%
Profit Margin
9.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.1% premium
PE vs Historical
18.0 vs 16.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1242.52
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$1268.61
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$1295.25
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18â17)
PE COMPRESSION
$1214.14
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -8.8%)
$1017.42
(+-16%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.0, Growth: -8.8%)
$923.62
(-24%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.3, Growth: -8.8%)
$785.08
(-36%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $113.64
Bull Case
$798.59
(-34%)
Analyst growth -40.6%, PE expands to 11.8
Base Case
$725.99
(-40%)
Market implied -40.6%, PE stable at 10.8
Bear Case
$831.13
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (GHC)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Investor $A_Trader reported a positive earnings surprise for $GHC with an adjusted EPS of $18.77, while Luxfer's (LXFR) Q3 earnings and revenues missed estimates, causing a negative sentiment in the news.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings reports
market sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:36 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GHC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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