GHC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GHC - GRAHAM HOLDINGS COMPANY

SERVICES-EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
$1166.93
14.43 (1.25%) ▲
5d: -2.04%
30d: +2.08%
90d: +6.45%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GHC is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1155.19
Based on 0.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$717.28
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GHC is currently trading at $1166.93, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1159.26 to $1206.41. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.4) is in line with its historical norms (16.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GHC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $1118.22, while resistance sits at $1222.59.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $990.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $1159.26 - $1206.41
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 71.0%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 15.2% above Wall St target ($990.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (44/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $1159.26 - $1206.41
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $1118.22
Resistance Level $1222.59
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.42
Wall Street Target $990.00 (-15.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 676.5%
Profit Margin 10.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.3% premium
PE vs Historical 17.4 vs 16.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $1182.10 (+1%)
2-Year Target $1197.47 (+3%)
3-Year Target $1213.03 (+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→17) PE COMPRESSION $1170.07 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: -2.9%) $1231.12 (+6%)
Base: (SPY PE: 17.4, Growth: -2.9%) $1068.37 (-8%)
Bear: (PE: 14.8, Growth: -2.9%) $908.12 (-22%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $121.47
Bull Case $699.26 (-40%)
Analyst growth -44.8%, PE expands to 10.4
Base Case $635.69 (-46%)
Market implied -44.8%, PE stable at 9.5
Bear Case $783.70 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 22, 2026 9:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:09 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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