GRAHAM (GHC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GHC - GRAHAM HOLDINGS COMPANY
$1151.29
16.62 (1.46%)
▲
5d:
+0.55%
30d:
+4.86%
90d:
-2.7%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GHC is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: GHC is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1155.19
Based on 0.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$717.28
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GHC is currently trading at $1151.29, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1123.94 to $1160.15. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.2) is in line with its historical norms (16.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GHC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $1169.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $990.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GHC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $1169.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $990.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$1123.94 -
$1160.15
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 14.0% above Wall St target ($990.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (49/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$1123.94 -
$1160.15
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1111.62
Resistance Level
$1169.10
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.18
Wall Street Target
$990.00
(-14.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
676.5%
Profit Margin
10.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
17.2 vs 16.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1159.35
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$1167.46
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$1175.64
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$1149.40
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -2.9%)
$1251.36
(+9%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.2, Growth: -2.9%)
$1054.05
(-8%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.6, Growth: -2.9%)
$895.94
(-22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $124.47
Bull Case
$671.85
(-42%)
Analyst growth -46.2%, PE expands to 10.0
Base Case
$610.77
(-47%)
Market implied -46.2%, PE stable at 9.1
Bear Case
$771.57
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 9:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GHC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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