GHC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GHC - GRAHAM HOLDINGS COMPANY

SERVICES-EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
$1184.31
25.83 (2.23%) ▲
5d: +0.04%
30d: +3.27%
90d: +7.48%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026 15d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GHC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1141.44
Based on 0.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$708.75
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GHC is currently trading at $1184.31, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1134.11 to $1170.03. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.7) is in line with its historical norms (16.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GHC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $1176.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $990.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $1134.11 - $1170.03
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 42.4%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 16.4% above Wall St target ($990.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $1134.11 - $1170.03
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $1085.67
Resistance Level $1176.07
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.68
Wall Street Target $990.00 (-16.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 21.4%
Profit Margin 6.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.1% premium
PE vs Historical 17.7 vs 16.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $1209.18 (+2%)
2-Year Target $1234.57 (+4%)
3-Year Target $1260.50 (+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→17) PE COMPRESSION $1183.75 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: -2.9%) $1336.01 (+13%)
Base: (SPY PE: 17.7, Growth: -2.9%) $1084.28 (-8%)
Bear: (PE: 15.0, Growth: -2.9%) $921.64 (-22%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 17.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $67.66
Bull Case $1261.90 (+7%)
Analyst growth -1.0%, PE expands to 18.8
Base Case $1147.18 (-3%)
Market implied -1.0%, PE stable at 17.1
Bear Case $787.77 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:13 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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