GRAHAM (GHC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GHC - GRAHAM HOLDINGS COMPANY
$1237.78
14.35 (1.17%)
▲
5d:
+3.26%
30d:
+7.89%
90d:
+7.18%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GHC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GHC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1004.85
Based on -2.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$623.93
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GHC is currently trading at $1237.78, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1138.19 to $1197.21. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.1) is in line with its historical norms (16.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GHC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $1235.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GHC scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $1100.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GHC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $1235.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GHC scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $1100.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$1138.19 -
$1197.21
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
20.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 10.1% above Wall St target ($1100.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$1138.19 -
$1197.21
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1164.42
Resistance Level
$1235.84
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.12
Wall Street Target
$1100.00
(-10.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
676.5%
Profit Margin
10.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
18.1 vs 16.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1252.79
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$1282.86
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$1313.65
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$1224.87
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -8.8%)
$1017.42
(+-17%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.1, Growth: -8.8%)
$928.53
(-24%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.4, Growth: -8.8%)
$789.25
(-36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $123.67
Bull Case
$735.88
(-40%)
Analyst growth -45.4%, PE expands to 10.9
Base Case
$668.99
(-45%)
Market implied -45.4%, PE stable at 9.9
Bear Case
$833.46
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 12:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:37 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is GHC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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