GRAHAM (GHC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GHC - GRAHAM HOLDINGS COMPANY
$1138.57
1.77 (0.16%)
▲
5d:
+1.39%
30d:
-4.11%
90d:
-1.53%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GHC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GHC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1155.19
Based on 0.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$717.28
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GHC is currently trading at $1138.57, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1130.84 to $1189.20. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.0) is in line with its historical norms (16.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GHC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $1167.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GHC scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $990.00. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GHC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $1167.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GHC scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $990.00. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$1130.84 -
$1189.20
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 13.0% above Wall St target ($990.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 75/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$1130.84 -
$1189.20
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1088.70
Resistance Level
$1167.90
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.99
Wall Street Target
$990.00
(-13.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
676.5%
Profit Margin
10.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
17.0 vs 16.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1143.12
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$1147.70
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$1152.29
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$1139.16
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -2.9%)
$1237.25
(+9%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.0, Growth: -2.9%)
$1042.41
(-8%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.4, Growth: -2.9%)
$886.05
(-22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $125.84
Bull Case
$665.78
(-42%)
Analyst growth -46.8%, PE expands to 9.9
Base Case
$605.26
(-47%)
Market implied -46.8%, PE stable at 9.0
Bear Case
$773.02
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 2:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GHC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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