TPG (TPG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TPG - TPG Inc. Class A Common Stock
$44.64
-1.53 (-3.31%)
▼
5d:
+4.99%
30d:
+2.31%
90d:
+3.91%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TPG trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TPG trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$106.62
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.20
32.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TPG is currently trading at $44.64, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.39 to $46.16. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.9) compared to its historical average (14.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $41.23, while resistance sits at $46.20. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: TPG scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.65 (+29.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $41.23, while resistance sits at $46.20. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: TPG scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.65 (+29.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$43.39 -
$46.16
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 29.1% below Wall St target ($57.65)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 75/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$43.39 -
$46.16
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.24
Resistance Level
$46.20
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.90
Wall Street Target
$57.65
(+29.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
110.2%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 14.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.74
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$39.03
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$36.49
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→15)
$44.75
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 90.4%)
$251.35
(+463%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 90.4%)
$150.66
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 90.4%)
$128.06
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 12.67 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.52
Bull Case
$53.90
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 13.3
Base Case
$44.64
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 12.7
Bear Case
$34.15
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 11.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.9 to 14.6
Stabilization Target:
$54.75
(+22.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 24, 2026 9:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:52 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TPG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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