TPG (TPG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$48.06
-0.05 (-0.10%)
âŧ
5d:
+3.35%
30d:
+10.81%
90d:
-7.17%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
0d
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Updated Nov 13, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (65%)
Quality Score
52/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$43.66 â $47.94
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
13.4x
FAIR
vs 14.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$59.24
+23.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$45.96 / $50.96
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TPG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 11, 2026 at $49.28 · last confirmed Nov 11, 2026
Strength: 5.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$101.35
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.93
23.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TPG is currently trading at $48.06, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.66 to $47.94. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.4) is in line with its historical norms (14.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 101.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $45.96, while resistance sits at $50.95.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $59.24 (+23.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $45.96, while resistance sits at $50.95.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $59.24 (+23.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$43.66 -
$47.94
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$43.66 -
$47.94
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$45.96
Resistance Level
$50.96
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding TPG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.1% below Wall St target ($59.24)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.40
Wall Street Target
$59.24
(+23.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
101.2%
Profit Margin
5.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.4 vs 14.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$46.91
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$45.73
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$44.59
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13â15)
$48.24
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 28.4%)
$150.79
(+213%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 28.4%)
$101.76
(+112%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: 28.4%)
$86.50
(+80%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 13.30 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.62
Bull Case
$58.09
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 14.0
Base Case
$48.11
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 13.3
Bear Case
$36.80
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 12.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.4 to 14.5
Stabilization Target:
$52.05
(+8.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TPG)
Neutral
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
TPG reported earnings of $0.65 per share, surpassing estimates by $0.03, leading to a bullish response on StockTwits.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings beat
positive trader sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 11:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:31 PM
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