TPG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TPG - TPG Inc. Class A Common Stock
$46.32
2.66 (6.09%)
▲
5d:
+7.82%
30d:
+11.8%
90d:
+4.75%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TPG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TPG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$107.67
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.85
30.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TPG is currently trading at $46.32, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.89 to $43.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.7) compared to its historical average (15.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPG is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $46.51. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: TPG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.12 (+19.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPG is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $46.51. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: TPG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.12 (+19.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$40.89 -
$43.94
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TPG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.4% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($55.12)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$40.89 -
$43.94
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.92
Resistance Level
$46.51
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.65
Wall Street Target
$55.13
(+19.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-56.8%
Profit Margin
4.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.7 vs 15.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.63
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$41.10
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$38.72
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$46.22
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 58.9%)
$256.18
(+453%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: 58.9%)
$156.33
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: 58.9%)
$132.88
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 15.82 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.93
Bull Case
$55.93
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 16.6
Base Case
$46.32
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 15.8
Bear Case
$35.43
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 14.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.7 to 15.1
Stabilization Target:
$55.29
(+19.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 11:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TPG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced TPG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TPG price and gamma walls.
