TPG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TPG - TPG Inc. Class A Common Stock
$53.07
0.66 (1.27%)
▲
5d:
+2.5%
30d:
+23.9%
90d:
+27.5%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TPG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TPG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$109.54
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.02
22.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TPG is currently trading at $53.06, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.69 to $51.08. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.0) is in line with its historical norms (15.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $48.25, while resistance sits at $55.50.
Market Sentiment: TPG scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.44 (+15.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $48.25, while resistance sits at $55.50.
Market Sentiment: TPG scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.44 (+15.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$42.69 -
$51.08
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
26.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TPG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($60.44)
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$42.69 -
$51.08
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$48.25
Resistance Level
$55.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.97
Wall Street Target
$60.44
(+15.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
110.2%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.0 vs 15.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$51.14
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$49.91
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$48.72
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$52.30
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 90.4%)
$254.01
(+385%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 90.4%)
$176.85
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.9, Growth: 90.4%)
$150.32
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 18.52 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.83
Bull Case
$63.27
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 19.4
Base Case
$52.40
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 18.5
Bear Case
$40.09
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 16.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.0 to 15.0
Stabilization Target:
$56.25
(+7.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 10:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TPG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TPG price and gamma walls.
