TPG (TPG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TPG - TPG Inc. Class A Common Stock
$47.69
0.76 (1.62%)
▲
5d:
-10.4%
30d:
-6.27%
90d:
+11.71%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TPG is down 10.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TPG is down 10.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$105.94
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$65.78
27.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TPG is currently trading at $47.69, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.92 to $53.59. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.2) compared to its historical average (15.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPG is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $46.87. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TPG scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.44 (+26.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPG is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $46.87. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TPG scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.44 (+26.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$48.92 -
$53.59
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TPG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (26/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.7% below Wall St target ($60.44)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$48.92 -
$53.59
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$46.87
Resistance Level
$54.89
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.15
Wall Street Target
$60.44
(+26.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
110.2%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 15.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$45.69
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$43.77
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$41.93
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$47.83
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 26.9%)
$149.40
(+213%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.1, Growth: 26.9%)
$97.39
(+104%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: 26.9%)
$82.78
(+74%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 13.48 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.54
Bull Case
$57.59
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 14.2
Base Case
$47.69
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 13.5
Bear Case
$36.48
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 12.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.1 to 15.0
Stabilization Target:
$54.40
(+14.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 14, 2026 2:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TPG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TPG price and gamma walls.
