GLIBA
GCI Liberty, Inc. Series A GCI Group Common Stock
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GLIBA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$28.20
+0.77 (+2.81%)
▲
5d:
+22.24%
30d:
+38.51%
90d:
+4.87%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (22%)
Quality Score
29/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$19.98 – $24.86
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
6.8x
FAIR
vs 6.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$54.00
+91.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$21.00 / $28.28
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: GLIBA is 13.4% above its trading range ($24.86). Market expects 0.8% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.75
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.38
15.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GLIBA is currently trading at $28.20, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.98 to $24.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.8) is in line with its historical norms (6.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLIBA is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $28.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GLIBA scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.00 (+91.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLIBA is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $28.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GLIBA scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.00 (+91.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$19.98 -
$24.86
Company Quality Score
29/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$19.98 -
$24.86
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$21.00
Resistance Level
$28.28
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+13.4% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 91.5% below Wall St target ($54.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.8% growth with 3.9% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 29/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.84
Wall Street Target
$54.00
(+91.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-54.0%
Profit Margin
7.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
6.8 vs 6.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.43
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$28.65
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$28.88
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.27
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 74.6%)
$276.15
(+879%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.8, Growth: 74.6%)
$95.18
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.8, Growth: 74.6%)
$80.90
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.98
Bull Case
$60.35
(+114%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 15.2
Base Case
$54.86
(+95%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 13.9
Bear Case
$18.65
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: November 12, 2026 1:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GLIBA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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NEUTRAL
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