GRBK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GRBK - Green Brick Partners, Inc
$74.28
0.68 (0.92%)
▲
5d:
+3.08%
30d:
+11.65%
90d:
+17.01%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Get Alerted When GRBK Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GRBK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GRBK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$87.55
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.36
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GRBK is currently trading at $74.28, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.71 to $72.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.8) compared to its historical average (10.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRBK is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $71.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GRBK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $62.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRBK is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $71.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GRBK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $62.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$65.71 -
$72.39
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 15.8% above Wall St target ($62.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.3% growth with -4.9% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$65.71 -
$72.39
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$66.88
Resistance Level
$71.55
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.80
Wall Street Target
$62.00
(-15.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-16.8%
Profit Margin
14.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.3% premium
PE vs Historical
11.8 vs 10.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$76.76
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$80.07
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$83.51
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$73.57
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.4%)
$173.14
(+135%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: 8.4%)
$93.84
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 8.4%)
$79.76
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.79
Bull Case
$75.36
(+2%)
Analyst growth -8.2%, PE expands to 12.1
Base Case
$68.51
(-7%)
Market implied -8.2%, PE stable at 11.0
Bear Case
$50.73
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:18 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is GRBK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Residential Construction Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Residential Construction by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TOL
Toll Brothers Inc |
BUY
19 analysts |
$165 | 67 BUY |
|
DHI
DR Horton Inc |
HOLD
21 analysts |
$168 | 63 BUY |
|
PHM
PulteGroup Inc |
BUY
17 analysts |
$138 | 63 BUY |
|
TMHC
Taylor Morn Home |
STRONG BUY
10 analysts |
$67 | 57 HOLD |
|
LEN
Lennar Corporation |
SELL
21 analysts |
$89 | 56 HOLD |
