GSM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GSM - Ferroglobe PLC Ordinary Shares
$4.08
0.23 (5.97%)
â˛
5d:
-7.06%
30d:
+21.79%
90d:
-0.73%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GSM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -17.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GSM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -17.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.22
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.83
53.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GSM is currently trading at $4.08, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.24 to $4.24. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.8) compared to its historical average (17.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GSM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $3.75, while resistance sits at $4.72. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: GSM scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.00 (+47.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GSM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $3.75, while resistance sits at $4.72. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: GSM scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.00 (+47.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$3.24 -
$4.24
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GSM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 47.1% below Wall St target ($6.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.24 -
$4.24
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.75
Resistance Level
$4.72
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.83
Wall Street Target
$6.00
(+47.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-52.4%
Profit Margin
-3.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-17.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.8 vs 17.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-17.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.67
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$3.30
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$2.97
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â18)
$5.32
(+31%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 277.3%)
$28.11
(+589%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.8, Growth: 277.3%)
$13.77
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 277.3%)
$11.70
(+187%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.8 to 17.6
Stabilization Target:
$7.30
(+79.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+79.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 9:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GSM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
De Fuentes Silvia VillarâĻ
BUY
26000 shares
2026-03-23
Madrid Javier Lopez
BUY
26000 shares
2026-03-23
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