GSM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GSM - Ferroglobe PLC Ordinary Shares
$4.19
0.05 (1.21%)
â˛
5d:
+7.99%
30d:
-2.78%
90d:
+25.07%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
12d
Get Alerted When GSM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GSM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -14.6% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GSM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -14.6% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.09
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.13
48.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GSM is currently trading at $4.19, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.02 to $4.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.1) compared to its historical average (16.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GSM is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $4.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.00 (+43.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GSM is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $4.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.00 (+43.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$4.02 -
$4.29
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GSM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (59/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.2% below Wall St target ($6.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.02 -
$4.29
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.82
Resistance Level
$4.28
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.10
Wall Street Target
$6.00
(+43.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-52.4%
Profit Margin
-3.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 16.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.77
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$3.39
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$3.05
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â16)
$4.90
(+17%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 277.3%)
$27.82
(+564%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 277.3%)
$14.14
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 277.3%)
$12.02
(+187%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 16.2
Stabilization Target:
$6.72
(+60.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+60.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 3:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:32 AM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is GSM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Other Industrial Metals & Mining Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Other Industrial Metals & Mining by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
MP
MP Materials Corp |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$72 | 65 BUY |
|
TECK
Teck Resources Ltd ClassâĻ |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$53 | 46 HOLD |
|
VALE
Vale SA ADR |
HOLD
25 analysts |
$16 | 39 SELL |
|
USAR
USA Rare Earth, Inc. |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$36 | 56 HOLD |
|
ALM
Almonty Industries Inc. âĻ |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$24 | 54 HOLD |
Advanced GSM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GSM price and gamma walls.
