HDL
SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares
Retail-Eating Places
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SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL (HDL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$9.90
-0.59 (-5.62%)
▼
5d:
-3.23%
30d:
-17.5%
90d:
-22.11%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (86%)
Quality Score
48/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$9.94 – $11.40
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.9x
CHEAP
vs 15.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$17.60
+77.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$9.74 / $11.90
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HDL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.47
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.06
42.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HDL is currently trading at $9.90, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.94 to $11.40. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.9) compared to its historical average (15.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HDL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: HDL scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.60 (+77.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HDL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: HDL scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.60 (+77.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$9.94 -
$11.40
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$9.94 -
$11.40
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$9.74
Resistance Level
$11.90
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 27, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 77.8% below Wall St target ($17.60)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.88
Wall Street Target
$17.60
(+77.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-50.0%
Profit Margin
1.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.9 vs 15.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.91
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$8.02
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$7.22
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→16)
$10.28
(+4%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 37.9%)
$47.37
(+379%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: 37.9%)
$25.95
(+162%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 37.9%)
$22.06
(+123%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.9 to 15.5
Stabilization Target:
$14.10
(+42.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+42.5%
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Last updated: November 11, 2026 6:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HDL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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