SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL (HDL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HDL - SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares
$10.24
0.01 (0.07%)
▲
5d:
-13.97%
30d:
-21.25%
90d:
-23.55%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 25, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HDL is down 14.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HDL is down 14.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.64
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.17
40.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HDL is currently trading at $10.24, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.69 to $11.90. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.2) compared to its historical average (15.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HDL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.22. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HDL scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.60 (+71.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HDL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.22. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HDL scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.60 (+71.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$10.69 -
$11.90
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 71.9% below Wall St target ($17.60)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.69 -
$11.90
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.22
Resistance Level
$11.90
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.25
Wall Street Target
$17.60
(+71.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-50.0%
Profit Margin
1.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 15.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.21
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$8.29
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$7.46
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→16)
$10.35
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 37.9%)
$47.37
(+363%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.2, Growth: 37.9%)
$26.83
(+162%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 37.9%)
$22.81
(+123%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (102x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 102.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.10
Bull Case
$22.51
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 112.5
Base Case
$20.46
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 102.3
Bear Case
$6.96
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 87.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.2 to 15.6
Stabilization Target:
$14.20
(+38.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+38.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 7:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HDL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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