SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL (HDL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HDL - SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares
$12.05
0.05 (0.42%)
▲
5d:
-7.31%
30d:
-7.38%
90d:
-15.14%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 26, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HDL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HDL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.53
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.72
32.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HDL is currently trading at $12.05, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.54 to $13.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.2) compared to its historical average (16.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HDL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HDL scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.93 (+48.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HDL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HDL scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.93 (+48.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$12.54 -
$13.96
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 48.8% below Wall St target ($17.93)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.54 -
$13.96
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.00
Resistance Level
$14.40
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.24
Wall Street Target
$17.93
(+48.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-50.0%
Profit Margin
1.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 16.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.29
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$10.58
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$9.91
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→16)
$12.05
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 37.9%)
$48.11
(+299%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 37.9%)
$31.58
(+162%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 37.9%)
$26.85
(+123%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (120x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 120.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.10
Bull Case
$26.40
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 132.0
Base Case
$24.00
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 120.0
Bear Case
$8.16
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 102.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.2 to 16.1
Stabilization Target:
$14.65
(+21.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 11:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HDL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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