HDL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HDL - SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares
$13.20
-0.80 (-5.71%)
âŧ
5d:
+0.08%
30d:
+0.69%
90d:
-13.95%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 25, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: HDL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.8% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: HDL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.8% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.89
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.94
26.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HDL is currently trading at $13.20, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.38 to $13.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.5) compared to its historical average (16.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HDL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: HDL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.93 (+35.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HDL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: HDL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.93 (+35.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$12.38 -
$13.39
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
38.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 35.9% below Wall St target ($17.93)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.38 -
$13.39
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.00
Resistance Level
$14.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.51
Wall Street Target
$17.93
(+35.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-50.0%
Profit Margin
3.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.5 vs 16.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.70
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$12.22
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$11.75
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15â16)
$13.21
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 37.9%)
$49.45
(+275%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.5, Growth: 37.9%)
$34.60
(+162%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.3, Growth: 37.9%)
$29.41
(+123%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.53
Bull Case
$26.44
(+100%)
Analyst growth 71.7%, PE expands to 29.1
Base Case
$24.04
(+82%)
Market implied 71.7%, PE stable at 26.4
Bear Case
$9.52
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.5 to 16.3
Stabilization Target:
$14.83
(+12.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 1:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HDL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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