SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL (HDL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HDL - SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares
$10.68
-0.78 (-6.79%)
▼
5d:
-7.99%
30d:
-19.44%
90d:
-19.8%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 25, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HDL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HDL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.18
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.50
38.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HDL is currently trading at $10.68, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.39 to $13.16. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.7) compared to its historical average (15.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HDL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: HDL scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.93 (+67.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HDL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: HDL scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.93 (+67.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$11.39 -
$13.16
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 67.9% below Wall St target ($17.93)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.39 -
$13.16
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.68
Resistance Level
$12.20
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.74
Wall Street Target
$17.93
(+67.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-50.0%
Profit Margin
1.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 15.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.67
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$8.75
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$7.92
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→16)
$10.72
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 37.9%)
$48.66
(+356%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: 37.9%)
$28.00
(+162%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 37.9%)
$23.80
(+123%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (115x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 114.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.10
Bull Case
$25.21
(+136%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 126.1
Base Case
$22.92
(+115%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 114.6
Bear Case
$7.79
(-27%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 97.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.7 to 15.9
Stabilization Target:
$14.47
(+35.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+35.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 3:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:22 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is HDL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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