Helen Of Troy (HELE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HELE - Helen Of Troy Ltd
$26.74
-0.11 (-0.41%)
▼
5d:
-6.6%
30d:
-6.47%
90d:
-2.87%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 08, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HELE trades at premium valuation expecting 7.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: HELE trades at premium valuation expecting 7.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.21
Based on -0.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.17
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HELE is currently trading at $26.74, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.12 to $29.10. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.2) compared to its historical average (6.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HELE is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $25.79, while resistance sits at $30.10.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.00 (+15.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HELE is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $25.79, while resistance sits at $30.10.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.00 (+15.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$27.12 -
$29.10
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HELE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($31.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.5% growth which is achievable
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (45/100) — watch for confirmation
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.6%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.12 -
$29.10
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.41
(9.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.79
Resistance Level
$30.10
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.18
Wall Street Target
$31.00
(+15.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.9%
Profit Margin
-22.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.5% premium
PE vs Historical
8.2 vs 6.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.75
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$30.90
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$33.22
(+24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.82
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -4.6%)
$57.97
(+117%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: -4.6%)
$23.23
(-13%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.6, Growth: -4.6%)
$18.75
(-30%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 2:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HELE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HELE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HELE price and gamma walls.
