HELE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HELE - Helen Of Troy Ltd
$28.13
0.03 (0.11%)
▲
5d:
+1.41%
30d:
+6.27%
90d:
+49.15%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 17, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 08, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HELE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 14.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HELE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 14.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.64
Based on -0.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.58
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HELE is currently trading at $28.13, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.67 to $28.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.8) compared to its historical average (5.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 14.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HELE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $25.13, while resistance sits at $29.32.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HELE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $25.13, while resistance sits at $29.32.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$26.67 -
$28.94
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
43th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 43th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($31.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 14.5% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.67 -
$28.94
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.43
(12.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.13
Resistance Level
$29.32
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.77
Wall Street Target
$31.00
(+8.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.9%
Profit Margin
-22.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+14.5% premium
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 5.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+14.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.83
(+15%)
2-Year Target
$37.59
(+31%)
3-Year Target
$43.04
(+50%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→6)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.48
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.0, Growth: -4.6%)
$59.70
(+108%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: -4.6%)
$24.91
(-13%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.8, Growth: -4.6%)
$16.48
(-43%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 20, 2026 1:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HELE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HELE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HELE price and gamma walls.