HELE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HELE - Helen Of Troy Ltd
$25.98
-0.02 (-0.08%)
▼
5d:
-9.76%
30d:
+4.8%
90d:
+71.94%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 09, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HELE trades at premium valuation expecting 12.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: HELE trades at premium valuation expecting 12.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.68
Based on -0.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.98
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HELE is currently trading at $25.98, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.57 to $27.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 7.9) compared to its historical average (5.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 12.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HELE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.05, while resistance sits at $28.47.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.33 (+12.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HELE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.05, while resistance sits at $28.47.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.33 (+12.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$24.57 -
$27.96
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
70th percentile
(ELEVATED)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
69.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HELE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 70th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($29.33)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 12.8% growth which is achievable
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.8% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.57 -
$27.96
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.60
(13.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.05
Resistance Level
$28.47
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.94
Wall Street Target
$29.33
(+12.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.9%
Profit Margin
-50.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+12.8% premium
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 5.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+12.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.31
(+13%)
2-Year Target
$33.06
(+27%)
3-Year Target
$37.29
(+44%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→6)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.82
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -4.6%)
$61.89
(+138%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: -4.6%)
$22.57
(-13%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.5, Growth: -4.6%)
$15.63
(-40%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 8:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HELE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HELE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HELE price and gamma walls.
