HF Foods Group (HFFG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HFFG - HF Foods Group Inc. Common Stock

WHOLESALE-GROCERIES & RELATED PRODUCTS
$1.63
-0.03 (-1.81%) ▼
5d: +2.52%
30d: -10.19%
90d: -10.44%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 09, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HFFG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.86
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.39
31.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HFFG is currently trading at $1.63, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.58 to $1.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.7) compared to its historical average (3.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 141.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HFFG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $1.47, while resistance sits at $1.69.

Market Sentiment: HFFG scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.67 (+247.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $1.58 - $1.78
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 83.3%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 247.7% below Wall St target ($5.67)
  • CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 22% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $1.58 - $1.78
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $1.47
Resistance Level $1.69
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 2.72
Wall Street Target $5.67 (+247.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 141.4%
Profit Margin -2.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -6.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 2.7 vs 3.3 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -6.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $1.52 (-7%)
2-Year Target $1.42 (-13%)
3-Year Target $1.32 (-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 3→3) $1.61 (-1%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 71.4%) $41.31 (+2434%)
Base: (SPY PE: 2.7, Growth: 71.4%) $5.50 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 2.3, Growth: 71.4%) $4.68 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.7 to 3.3
Stabilization Target: $1.98 (+21.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +21.5%
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Last updated: October 03, 2026 3:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:02 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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