HII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HII - Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc.
$287.54
-6.12 (-2.08%)
▼
5d:
-9.45%
30d:
-20.87%
90d:
-34.21%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HII shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HII shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$656.30
Based on 10.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$407.51
29.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HII is currently trading at $287.54, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $306.77 to $349.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.1) compared to its historical average (19.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HII is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $287.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $387.91 (+34.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HII is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $287.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $387.91 (+34.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$306.77 -
$349.14
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.5%
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.9% below Wall St target ($387.91)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.5% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$306.77 -
$349.14
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$14.73
(5.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$287.43
Resistance Level
$326.92
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.12
Wall Street Target
$387.91
(+34.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.4%
Profit Margin
4.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.1 vs 19.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$258.79
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$232.91
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$209.62
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→20)
$291.03
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 17.1%)
$716.48
(+149%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.1, Growth: 17.1%)
$461.64
(+61%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.0, Growth: 17.1%)
$392.39
(+37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.40
Bull Case
$463.05
(+44%)
Analyst growth 32.6%, PE expands to 22.7
Base Case
$420.96
(+31%)
Market implied 32.6%, PE stable at 20.6
Bear Case
$215.94
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.1 to 19.6
Stabilization Target:
$399.22
(+38.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+38.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 10:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Chad N Boudreaux
SELL
4400 shares
2026-03-05
Eric D Chewning
SELL
1700 shares
2026-03-04
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Advanced HII Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HII price and gamma walls.
