HII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HII - Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc.
$278.86
4.91 (1.79%)
▲
5d:
+4.36%
30d:
+3.36%
90d:
-3.04%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HII shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HII shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
HII is flagged by 1 backtest-validated scanner today
SPY Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 0.37% over the next 20 trading days; HII has been on it 4 days). Backtested on 8 months of scanner history vs the S&P 500, as of 2026-10-22.
See all of today's Best Signals in the free scanner →Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$546.45
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$339.30
17.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HII is currently trading at $278.86, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $262.61 to $275.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.3) compared to its historical average (17.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 36.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HII is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $280.42. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HII scores 67/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (29th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $356.42 (+27.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HII is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $280.42. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HII scores 67/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (29th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $356.42 (+27.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$262.61 -
$275.46
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
29th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
69.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 29th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (67/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.8% below Wall St target ($356.42)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 67/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$262.61 -
$275.46
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$19.23
(6.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$255.36
Resistance Level
$280.42
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.27
Wall Street Target
$356.42
(+27.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
36.5%
Profit Margin
5.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.3 vs 17.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$256.27
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$235.51
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$216.44
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→17)
$278.88
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.6%)
$611.26
(+119%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.3, Growth: 13.6%)
$408.48
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 13.6%)
$347.21
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $16.78
Bull Case
$377.35
(+35%)
Analyst growth 25.2%, PE expands to 18.0
Base Case
$343.04
(+23%)
Market implied 25.2%, PE stable at 16.3
Bear Case
$186.29
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.3 to 17.1
Stabilization Target:
$359.31
(+28.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 3:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HII Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HII price and gamma walls.
