HII
Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc.
SHIP & BOAT BUILDING & REPAIRING
HII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$313.96
+0.39 (+0.12%)
▲
5d:
+3.28%
30d:
+21.77%
90d:
-3.62%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
0d
Protect HII Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (40%)
Quality Score
39/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$263.38 – $303.37
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
15.4x
FAIR
vs 16.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$356.08
+13.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$281.34 / $327.75
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HII shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$419.46
Based on 4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$260.45
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HII is currently trading at $313.96, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $263.38 to $303.37. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.3) is in line with its historical norms (16.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 48.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HII is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $281.34, while resistance sits at $327.75.
Market Sentiment: HII scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $356.08 (+13.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HII is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $281.34, while resistance sits at $327.75.
Market Sentiment: HII scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $356.08 (+13.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$263.38 -
$303.37
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
40.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$263.38 -
$303.37
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$11.89
(3.8%)
Support Level
$281.34
Resistance Level
$327.75
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding HII? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($356.08)
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.35
Wall Street Target
$356.08
(+13.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
48.9%
Profit Margin
5.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.4 vs 16.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$303.91
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$294.19
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$284.77
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→17)
$313.47
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 3.9%)
$456.15
(+45%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 3.9%)
$352.63
(+12%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 3.9%)
$299.73
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $19.13
Bull Case
$368.72
(+17%)
Analyst growth 6.9%, PE expands to 18.0
Base Case
$335.20
(+7%)
Market implied 6.9%, PE stable at 16.4
Bear Case
$213.23
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.4 to 16.9
Stabilization Target:
$345.60
(+10.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.1%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (HII)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 4, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
HII's Ingalls Shipbuilding division successfully completed builder's sea trials for the first Flight II ship in the San Antonio-class amphibious transport dock program, Harrisburg (LPD 30), which is a significant step towards delivery to the U.S. Navy.
Key Retail Themes:
successful builder's sea trials for Harrisburg (LPD 30)
progress towards delivering LPDs to the U.S. Navy
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:43 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:43 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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