HII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HII - Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc.
$325.95
-0.50 (-0.15%)
▼
5d:
+13.08%
30d:
+11.82%
90d:
-9.61%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: HII is 11.1% above its trading range ($293.37). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: HII is 11.1% above its trading range ($293.37). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$562.75
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$349.42
6.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HII is currently trading at $325.95, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $273.47 to $293.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.2) compared to its historical average (18.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HII is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $334.53. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HII has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $360.09 (+10.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HII is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $334.53. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HII has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $360.09 (+10.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$273.47 -
$293.37
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HII? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+11.1% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($360.09)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$273.47 -
$293.37
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$263.62
Resistance Level
$334.53
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.18
Wall Street Target
$360.09
(+10.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.4%
Profit Margin
4.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.2 vs 18.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$313.39
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$300.86
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$288.82
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→18)
$326.64
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 13.7%)
$614.04
(+88%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 13.7%)
$479.31
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.8, Growth: 13.7%)
$407.41
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.39
Bull Case
$461.28
(+41%)
Analyst growth 31.1%, PE expands to 22.9
Base Case
$419.35
(+29%)
Market implied 31.1%, PE stable at 20.8
Bear Case
$217.53
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.2 to 18.3
Stabilization Target:
$369.19
(+13.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 4:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Chad N Boudreaux
SELL
4400 shares
2026-03-05
Eric D Chewning
SELL
1700 shares
2026-03-04
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