HIPO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HIPO - Hippo Holdings Inc.
$29.68
0.92 (3.20%)
▲
5d:
+5.7%
30d:
+15.49%
90d:
+15.71%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HIPO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HIPO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.37
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.73
23.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HIPO is currently trading at $29.68, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.23 to $28.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.9) is in line with its historical norms (10.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HIPO is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: HIPO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.75 (+33.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HIPO is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: HIPO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.75 (+33.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$25.23 -
$28.47
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 33.9% below Wall St target ($39.75)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.23 -
$28.47
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.08
Resistance Level
$27.03
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.92
Wall Street Target
$39.75
(+33.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-86.3%
Profit Margin
23.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 10.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.97
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$28.27
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$27.59
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$29.78
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 61.8%)
$220.03
(+641%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: 61.8%)
$100.17
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 61.8%)
$85.14
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.40
Bull Case
$21.52
(-28%)
Analyst growth -32.0%, PE expands to 7.2
Base Case
$19.57
(-34%)
Market implied -32.0%, PE stable at 6.5
Bear Case
$19.56
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.9 to 10.7
Stabilization Target:
$32.03
(+7.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 4:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HIPO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard Mccathron
SELL
5000 shares
2026-04-09
Richard Mccathron
SELL
5000 shares
2026-03-09
Torben Ostergaard
SELL
600 shares
2026-02-25
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