HIPO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HIPO - Hippo Holdings Inc.
$24.09
-1.31 (-5.16%)
▼
5d:
-7.1%
30d:
-12.37%
90d:
-14.18%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HIPO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HIPO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.41
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.65
32.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HIPO is currently trading at $24.09, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.64 to $27.76. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.0) compared to its historical average (11.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HIPO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: HIPO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.25 (+58.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HIPO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: HIPO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.25 (+58.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$25.64 -
$27.76
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 58.8% below Wall St target ($38.25)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.1%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.64 -
$27.76
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.08
Resistance Level
$27.03
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.99
Wall Street Target
$38.25
(+58.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-86.3%
Profit Margin
23.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.0 vs 11.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.50
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$21.02
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$19.63
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$24.02
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 41.8%)
$167.42
(+595%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.0, Growth: 41.8%)
$68.68
(+185%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.6, Growth: 41.8%)
$58.38
(+142%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.40
Bull Case
$17.37
(-33%)
Analyst growth -39.1%, PE expands to 6.5
Base Case
$15.79
(-39%)
Market implied -39.1%, PE stable at 5.9
Bear Case
$17.63
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.0 to 11.0
Stabilization Target:
$29.48
(+22.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 7:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HIPO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard Mccathron
SELL
5000 shares
2026-04-09
Richard Mccathron
SELL
5000 shares
2026-03-09
Torben Ostergaard
SELL
600 shares
2026-02-25
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