HIPO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HIPO - Hippo Holdings Inc.
$33.12
0.43 (1.32%)
â˛
5d:
+0.24%
30d:
+20.74%
90d:
+27.63%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: HIPO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: HIPO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$71.19
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.20
25.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HIPO is currently trading at $33.12, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.25 to $33.17. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.4) is in line with its historical norms (10.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 660.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HIPO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HIPO scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.12 (+24.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HIPO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HIPO scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.12 (+24.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$29.25 -
$33.17
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
42.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.2% below Wall St target ($41.12)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.25 -
$33.17
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.91
Resistance Level
$33.63
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.42
Wall Street Target
$41.13
(+24.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
660.0%
Profit Margin
23.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.4 vs 10.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.06
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$31.03
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$30.04
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9â10)
$33.16
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 43.3%)
$207.69
(+527%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: 43.3%)
$97.51
(+194%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: 43.3%)
$82.88
(+150%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.72
Bull Case
$26.78
(-19%)
Analyst growth -25.5%, PE expands to 7.6
Base Case
$24.34
(-27%)
Market implied -25.5%, PE stable at 6.9
Bear Case
$22.23
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.4 to 10.4
Stabilization Target:
$36.56
(+10.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 11:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HIPO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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2026-04-09
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2026-03-09
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600 shares
2026-02-25
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