Hippo (HIPO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HIPO - Hippo Holdings Inc.
$32.00
-0.06 (-0.19%)
▼
5d:
-6.41%
30d:
-2.77%
90d:
+25.64%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HIPO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HIPO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$70.50
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$43.78
26.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HIPO is currently trading at $32.00, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.40 to $33.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.1) compared to its historical average (10.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 660.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HIPO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $31.57. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HIPO scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.12 (+28.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HIPO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $31.57. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HIPO scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.12 (+28.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$32.40 -
$33.49
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.5% below Wall St target ($41.12)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.4%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.40 -
$33.49
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.57
Resistance Level
$34.88
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.10
Wall Street Target
$41.13
(+28.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
660.0%
Profit Margin
23.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 10.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.72
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$29.49
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$28.31
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$32.03
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 43.3%)
$208.73
(+552%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 43.3%)
$94.21
(+194%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: 43.3%)
$80.08
(+150%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.70
Bull Case
$26.37
(-18%)
Analyst growth -25.2%, PE expands to 7.5
Base Case
$23.98
(-25%)
Market implied -25.2%, PE stable at 6.8
Bear Case
$21.80
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.1 to 10.3
Stabilization Target:
$36.20
(+13.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 5:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:16 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is HIPO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard Mccathron
SELL
5000 shares
2026-04-09
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