HIPO Hippo Holdings Inc. FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE Best Insurance Stocks 2026 →

Hippo (HIPO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$36.96
+0.35 (+0.96%) ▲
5d: +6.24% 30d: +7.47% 90d: +11.86%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (64%)
Quality Score
54/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$33.95 – $37.61
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.0x FAIR
vs 10.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$44.00
+19.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
70th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$33.64 / $37.89
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: HIPO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$72.82
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$45.22
18.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HIPO is currently trading at $36.96, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.95 to $37.61. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.0) is in line with its historical norms (10.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HIPO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $37.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.00 (+19.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $33.95 - $37.61
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 70th percentile (ELEVATED)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 64.2%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $33.95 - $37.61
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$3.61 (9.8%)
Support Level $33.64
Resistance Level $37.89
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 12, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 70th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($44.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (54/100) — watch for confirmation

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.98
Wall Street Target $44.00 (+19.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 29.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -91.2%
Profit Margin 5.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 10.0 vs 10.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $36.78 (-1%)
2-Year Target $36.59 (-1%)
3-Year Target $36.41 (-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→10) $36.84 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 27.5%) $152.24 (+312%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: 27.5%) $76.52 (+107%)
Bear: (PE: 8.5, Growth: 27.5%) $65.04 (+76%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.23
Bull Case $80.54 (+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 32.7
Base Case $73.22 (+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 29.8
Bear Case $24.89 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.0 to 10.1
Stabilization Target: $37.40 (+1.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +1.2%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (HIPO)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 14, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: A bullish StockTwits message identifies a potential double bottom formation in $HIPO stocks.
Key Retail Themes: Technical analysis
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 7:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:30 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive HIPO Research Pages
HIPO Technical Chart HIPO Price Prediction HIPO Intrinsic Value DCF HIPO Earnings Date HIPO Investment Advisor HIPO Fair Price Analyzer HIPO Options Chain HIPO Options Advisor HIPO Options Analysis HIPO Competitors
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